Test-Time Compute Games
On the map: LLM reasoning → Test-time compute and efficient thinking
Abstract (arXiv)
Test-time compute has emerged as a promising strategy to enhance the reasoning abilities of large language models (LLMs). However, this strategy has in turn increased how much users pay cloud-based providers offering LLM-as-a-service, since providers charge users for the amount of test-time compute they use to generate an output. In our work, we show that the market of LLM-as-a-service is socially inefficient: providers have a financial incentive to increase the amount of test-time compute, even if this increase contributes little to the quality of the outputs. To address this inefficiency, we introduce a reverse second-price auction mechanism where providers bid their offered price and (expected) quality for the opportunity to serve a user, and users pay proportionally to the marginal value generated by the winning provider relative to the second-highest bidder. To illustrate and complement our theoretical results, we conduct experiments with multiple instruct models from the textttLlama and textttQwen families, as well as reasoning models distilled from textttDeepSeek-R1, on math and science benchmark datasets.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Test-time compute and efficient thinking, one of 17 directions in LLM reasoning. Builds on 20 of its 76 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Jan 2026.
Builds on
20 of 76 references.
Closest ancestors · 3
Same direction, newest first
- 2025ParaThinker: Native Parallel Thinking as a New Paradigm to Scale LLM Test-time Compute30 Aug
- 2025CoIn: Counting the Invisible Reasoning Tokens in Commercial Opaque LLM APIs19 May
- 2025Can 1B LLM Surpass 405B LLM? Rethinking Compute-Optimal Test-Time Scaling10 Feb
Other references · 17
- 2021Training Verifiers to Solve Math Word Problemscited by 10,109
- 2021TruthfulQA: Measuring How Models Mimic Human Falsehoodscited by 2,975
- 2020BLEURT: Learning Robust Metrics for Text Generationcited by 1,203
- 2023UltraFeedback: Boosting Language Models with Scaled AI Feedbackcited by 406
- 2025When More is Less: Understanding Chain-of-Thought Length in LLMscited by 183
- 2025Are You Getting What You Pay For? Auditing Model Substitution in LLM APIscited by 38
- 2025Cost-of-Pass: An Economic Framework for Evaluating Language Modelscited by 35
- 2025Is Your LLM Overcharging You? Tokenization, Transparency, and Incentivescited by 13
- 2025Optimal Stopping vs Best-of-N for Inference Time Optimizationcited by 7
- 2025BEACON: Bayesian Optimal Stopping for Efficient LLM Samplingcited by 7
- 2025Pay for The Second-Best Service: A Game-Theoretic Approach Against Dishonest LLM Providerscited by 6
- 2025Economic Evaluation of LLMscited by 5
5 more
- 2019Efficiency in Truthful Auctions via a Social Networkcited by 3
- 2025Best-of-∞ -- Asymptotic Performance of Test-Time LLM Ensemblingcited by 3
- 2025Welfare as a Guiding Principle for Machine Learning -- From Compass, to Lens, to Roadmapcited by 2
- 2023Robust Analysis of Auction Equilibriacited by 1
- 2025How to sell a service with uncertain outcomescited by 1
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 4.
4 papers.
- 2026Post-Training at the Edge of Detectability: A Game-Theoretic Approach to Fine-Tuningcited by 0
- 2026Learning the Cost of Reliable Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Inference Auctionscited by 0
- 2026Price of Anarchy of First-Price Auctions in Agentic Marketscited by 0
- 2026Price of Anarchy of First-Price Auctions in Agentic Markets14 Oct 2026
- 2026Inference Auctions30 Sep 2026
- 2026Learning the Cost of Reliable Inference23 Sep 2026
- 2026Post-Training at the Edge of Detectability: A Game-Theoretic Approach to Fine-Tuning29 Jul 2026
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2026Keep, Customize, or Exit: Default Design and Token Pricing in LLM Reasoning Services
- 2026The Shadow Price of Reasoning: Economic Perspective on Optimal Budget Allocation for LLMs
- 2026Competitive Market Behavior of LLMs
- 2026Large Language Models as Bidding Agents in Repeated HetNet Auction
- 2026The Price of Thought: Does Test-Time Reasoning Pay in LLM Trading?
- 2025Matching Markets Meet LLMs: Algorithmic Reasoning with Ranked Preferences
- 2025LLM Bidders Preserve the Mechanism-Level Orderings of Human Bidders
- 2023Put Your Money Where Your Mouth Is: Evaluating Strategic Planning and Execution of LLM Agents in an Auction Arena