A new strategy for finite-sample valid prediction of future insurance claims in the regression setting
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Abstract (arXiv)
The extant insurance literature demonstrates a paucity of finite-sample valid prediction intervals of future insurance claims in the regression setting. To address this challenge, this article proposes a new strategy that converts a predictive method in the unsupervised iid (independent identically distributed) setting to a predictive method in the regression setting. In particular, it enables an actuary to obtain infinitely many finite-sample valid prediction intervals in the regression setting.
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References · 5
- 2016Distribution-Free Predictive Inference For Regressioncited by 668
- 2020Methods to Compute Prediction Intervals: A Review and New Resultscited by 9
- 2017On overfitting and post-selection uncertainty assessmentscited by 6
- 2025Conformal prediction of future insurance claims in the regression problemcited by 2
- 2025On some practical challenges of conformal predictioncited by 1
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