mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

TwinWeaver: An LLM-Based Foundation Model Framework for Pan-Cancer Digital Twins

arXiv 2601.20906 ↗First posted 28 Jan 2026cs.LGcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Precision oncology requires forecasting clinical events and trajectories, yet modeling sparse, multi-modal clinical time series remains a critical challenge. We introduce TwinWeaver, an open-source framework that serializes longitudinal patient histories into text, enabling unified event prediction as well as forecasting with large language models, and use it to build Genie Digital Twin (GDT) on 93,054 patients across 20 cancer types. In benchmarks, GDT significantly reduces forecasting error, achieving a median Mean Absolute Scaled Error (MASE) of 0.87 compared to 0.97 for the strongest time-series baseline (p<0.001). Furthermore, GDT improves risk stratification, achieving an average concordance index (C-index) of 0.703 across survival, progression, and therapy switching tasks, surpassing the best baseline of 0.662. GDT also generalizes to out-of-distribution clinical trials, matching trained baselines at zero-shot and surpassing them with fine-tuning, achieving a median MASE of 0.75-0.88 and outperforming the strongest baseline in event prediction with an average C-index of 0.672 versus 0.648. Finally, TwinWeaver enables an interpretable clinical reasoning extension, providing a scalable and transparent foundation for longitudinal clinical modeling.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 42 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 28 Jan 2026.

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12 of 42 references.

References · 12

  1. 2024DeepSeekMath: Pushing the Limits of Mathematical Reasoning in Open Language Modelscited by 8,851
  2. 2025Qwen3 Technical Reportcited by 8,195
  3. 2024Chronos: Learning the Language of Time Seriescited by 712
  4. 2023Large Language Models Are Zero-Shot Time Series Forecasterscited by 491
  5. 2020AutoGluon-Tabular: Robust and Accurate AutoML for Structured Datacited by 368
  6. 2016DeepSurv: Personalized Treatment Recommender System Using A Cox Proportional Hazards Deep Neural Networkcited by 354
  7. 2023Long-term Forecasting with TiDE: Time-series Dense Encodercited by 327
  8. 2023EHRSHOT: An EHR Benchmark for Few-Shot Evaluation of Foundation Modelscited by 101
  9. 2023MOTOR: A Time-To-Event Foundation Model For Structured Medical Recordscited by 75
  10. 2025Advancing Precision Oncology Through Modeling of Longitudinal and Multimodal Datacited by 3
  11. 2025EHR2Path: Comprehensive Pathway-Level Modeling of Longitudinal Patient Trajectories from Multimodal Electronic Health Recordscited by 2
  12. 2025OncoReason: Structuring Clinical Reasoning in LLMs for Robust and Interpretable Survival Predictioncited by 1

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