mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Agentic Much? Adoption of Coding Agents on GitHub

arXiv 2601.18341 ↗First posted 26 Jan 2026cs.SEcited by 31

On the map: LLM agents and tool use → Software engineering coding agents

Abstract (arXiv)

In the first half of 2025, coding agents have emerged as a category of development tools that have very quickly transitioned to the practice. Unlike ''traditional'' code completion LLMs such as Copilot, agents like Cursor, Claude Code, or Codex operate with high degrees of autonomy, up to generating complete pull requests starting from a developer-provided task description. This new mode of operation is poised to change the landscape in an even larger way than code completion LLMs did, making the need to study their impact critical. Also, unlike traditional LLMs, coding agents tend to leave more explicit traces in software engineering artifacts, such as co-authoring commits or pull requests. We leverage these traces to present the first large-scale study (128,018 projects) of the adoption of coding agents on GitHub, finding an estimated adoption rate of 22.20%--28.66%, which is very high for a technology only a few months old--and increasing. We carry out an in-depth study of the adopters we identified, finding that adoption is broad: it spans the entire spectrum of project maturity; it includes established organizations; and it concerns diverse programming languages or project topics. At the commit level, we find that commits assisted by coding agents are larger than commits only authored by human developers, and have a large proportion of features and bug fixes. These findings highlight the need for further investigation into the practical use of coding agents.

Key facts. Cited by 31 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Placed in Software engineering coding agents, one of 16 directions in LLM agents and tool use. Builds on 18 of its 55 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 26 Jan 2026.

Builds on

18 of 55 references.

Closest ancestors · 2

Same direction, newest first

  1. 2025Understanding Software Engineering Agents: A Study of Thought-Action-Result Trajectories23 Jun
  2. 2024Agentless: Demystifying LLM-based Software Engineering Agents1 Jul

Other references · 16

  1. 2023SWE-bench: Can Language Models Resolve Real-World GitHub Issues?cited by 3,193
  2. 2023The Impact of AI on Developer Productivity: Evidence from GitHub Copilotcited by 264
  3. 2022Grounded Copilot: How Programmers Interact with Code-Generating Modelscited by 216
  4. 2022Do Users Write More Insecure Code with AI Assistants?cited by 186
  5. 2022Productivity Assessment of Neural Code Completioncited by 97
  6. 2025Measuring the Impact of Early-2025 AI on Experienced Open-Source Developer Productivitycited by 93
  7. 2022Reading Between the Lines: Modeling User Behavior and Costs in AI-Assisted Programmingcited by 91
  8. 2022Lost at C: A User Study on the Security Implications of Large Language Model Code Assistantscited by 87
  9. 2023A Large-Scale Survey on the Usability of AI Programming Assistants: Successes and Challengescited by 75
  10. 2025Are "Solved Issues" in SWE-bench Really Solved Correctly? An Empirical Studycited by 47
  11. 2024Language Models for Code Completion: A Practical Evaluationcited by 38
  12. 2023Investigating and Designing for Trust in AI-powered Code Generation Toolscited by 34
4 more
  1. 2021Sampling Projects in GitHub for MSR Studiescited by 20
  2. 2024Unveiling ChatGPT's Usage in Open Source Projects: A Mining-based Studycited by 16
  3. 2023A User-centered Security Evaluation of Copilotcited by 14
  4. 2025Context Engineering for AI Agents in Open-Source Softwarecited by 14

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Cited by year (2026 to 7 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 31.

31 papers.

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  1. 2026Harness Engineering for Agentic AI Coding Tools: An Exploratory Studycited by 10
  2. 2026Are Coding Agents Generating Over-Mocked Tests? An Empirical Studycited by 5
  3. 2026Codified Context: Infrastructure for AI Agents in a Complex Codebasecited by 5
  4. 2026Code Review Agent Benchmarkcited by 4
  5. 2026Knowledge Activation: AI Skills as the Institutional Knowledge Primitive for Agentic Software Developmentcited by 3
  6. 2026A Dataset of Agentic AI Coding Tool Configurationscited by 3
  7. 2026Architecture Without Architects: How AI Coding Agents Shape Software Architecturecited by 2
  8. 2026The Kitchen Loop: User-Spec-Driven Development for a Self-Evolving Codebasecited by 1
  9. 2026ORBIT: Guided Agentic Orchestration for Autonomous C-to-Rust Transpilationcited by 1
  10. 2026Does Code Cleanliness Affect Coding Agents? A Controlled Minimal-Pair Studycited by 1
  11. 2026Adoption and Impact of Command-Line AI Coding Agents: A Study of Microsoft's Early 2026 Rollout of Claude Code and GitHub Copilot CLIcited by 1
  12. 2026Formal Disco: Scalable Open-Ended Generation of Formally Verified Programscited by 1
19 more
  1. 2026IssueTrojanBench: Benchmarking AI Coding Agents Against Malicious Issue Requestscited by 1
  2. 2026An Exploratory Study of Agent Plans for Agentic AI Coding Tools in Open-Source Softwarecited by 1
  3. 2026Harness Engineering: Anatomy, Architecture, and Evolution of Coding Agents -- A Source-Code Study of Eleven Systemscited by 1
  4. 2026The Impact of Configuring Agentic AI Coding Tools on Build-vs-Buy Decisions: A Study Protocolcited by 0
  5. 2026Agentic Very Much! Adoption of Coding Agent in New GitHub Projectscited by 0
  6. 2026Detecting AI Coding Agents in Open Source: A Validated Multi-Method Census of 180 Million Repositoriescited by 0
  7. 2026Augmentation with Dilution: A Large-Scale Empirical Study of Human Contributor Ecosystems After AI Coding Agent Adoptioncited by 0
  8. 2026From Conversation to Contribution: Characterizing Coding Agent in Open-Source Softwarecited by 0
  9. 2026How Do AI Coding Agents Contribute to Software Development? an Empirical Study of Agentic Pull Requestscited by 0
  10. 2026ALIBI: Adaptive Agentic Attacks on LLM-Based Vulnerability Detectors via Adversarial Code Commentscited by 0
  11. 2026AgenTag: Attribution of AI Coding Agents from Behavioral Fingerprintscited by 0
  12. 2026Understanding the Architecture of Coding Agents: An Exploratory Study Using a Research Prototypecited by 0
  13. 2026From Agent Behaviour to Agent-Friendly Documentation: An Empirical Study of How Coding Agents Discover, Read, and Write Technical Documentationcited by 0
  14. 2026A Case-Bundle Operating Model for Coding Agents in OpenFOAM-Based CFDcited by 0
  15. 2026Reflections on Trusting Trust, Revisited: Contaminating Self-Modifying AI Coding Agents with Poisoned Benchmarkscited by 0
  16. 2026Who Finishes the Job? A Study of Follow-Up Fixes and Commit Authorship on AI Coding Agent Pull Requestscited by 0
  17. 2026Specifying and Maintaining Agentic Workflows: An Empirical Study of GitHub Agentic Workflowscited by 0
  18. 2026CRJudgeBench: Can AI Detect Plausible but Invalid Code Reviews?cited by 0
  19. 2026AgBench: Agentic AI Benchmarks for Personal AI Devicescited by 0

Similar, not cited

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  1. 2026Early Adoption of Agentic Coding Tools by GitHub Projects
  2. 2025On the Use of Agentic Coding: An Empirical Study of Pull Requests on GitHub
  3. 2026Investigating Autonomous Agent Contributions in the Wild: Activity Patterns and Code Change over Time
  4. 2026AI IDEs or Autonomous Agents? Measuring the Impact of Coding Agents on Software Development
  5. 2026Promises, Perils, and (Timely) Heuristics for Mining Coding Agent Activity
  6. 2026Decoupling Code Complexity from Newcomer Participation: A Causal Study of AI Coding Agent Adoption in OSS
  7. 2026Why Agentic-PRs Get Rejected: A Comparative Study of Coding Agents
  8. 2025A Study of Library Usage in Agent-Authored Pull Requests