mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Parametric Mean-Field empirical Bayes in high-dimensional linear regression

arXiv 2601.16842 ↗First posted 23 Jan 2026math.ST stat.ML stat.THcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we consider the problem of parametric empirical Bayes estimation of an i.i.d. prior in high-dimensional Bayesian linear regression, with random design. We obtain the asymptotic distribution of the variational Empirical Bayes (vEB) estimator, which approximately maximizes a variational lower bound of the intractable marginal likelihood. We characterize a sharp phase transition behavior for the vEB estimator -- namely that it is information theoretically optimal (in terms of limiting variance) up to p=o(n2/3) while it suffers from a sub-optimal convergence rate in higher dimensions. In the first regime, i.e., when p=o(n2/3), we show how the estimated prior can be calibrated to enable valid coordinate-wise and delocalized inference, both under the empirical Bayes posterior and the oracle posterior. In the second regime, we propose a debiasing technique as a way to improve the performance of the vEB estimator beyond p=o(n2/3). Extensive numerical experiments corroborate our theoretical findings.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 23 Jan 2026.

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