Generating Literature-Driven Scientific Theories at Scale
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Abstract (arXiv)
Contemporary automated scientific discovery has focused on agents for generating scientific experiments, while systems that perform higher-level scientific activities such as theory building remain underexplored. In this work, we formulate the problem of synthesizing theories consisting of qualitative and quantitative laws from large corpora of scientific literature. We study theory generation at scale, using 13.7k source papers to synthesize 2.9k theories, examining how generation using literature-grounding versus parametric knowledge, and accuracy-focused versus novelty-focused generation objectives change theory properties. Our experiments show that, compared to using parametric LLM memory for generation, our literature-supported method creates theories that are significantly better at both matching existing evidence and at predicting future results from 4.6k subsequently-written papers
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 68 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 Jan 2026.
Builds on
22 of 68 references.
References · 22
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- 2018Construction of the Literature Graph in Semantic Scholarcited by 118
- 2024BLADE: Benchmarking Language Model Agents for Data-Driven Sciencecited by 77
- 2019Inducing Relational Knowledge from BERTcited by 75
10 more
- 2025Robin: A multi-agent system for automating scientific discoverycited by 62
- 2025CodeScientist: End-to-End Semi-Automated Scientific Discovery with Code-based Experimentationcited by 57
- 2024Automated Statistical Model Discovery with Language Modelscited by 41
- 2025HypoBench: Towards Systematic and Principled Benchmarking for Hypothesis Generationcited by 37
- 2024Data-driven Discovery with Large Generative Modelscited by 34
- 2025AutoDiscovery: Open-ended Scientific Discovery via Bayesian Surprisecited by 33
- 2022Language Models as Inductive Reasonerscited by 32
- 2024Literature Meets Data: A Synergistic Approach to Hypothesis Generationcited by 20
- 2025HypER: Literature-grounded Hypothesis Generation and Distillation with Provenancecited by 10
- 2025HARPA: A Testability-Driven, Literature-Grounded Framework for Research Ideationcited by 4
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2026: 4.
4 papers.
- 2026LLM-AutoSciLab: Closed-Loop Scientific Discovery via Active Experimentation with LLMscited by 12
- 2026Evidence-Informed LLM Beliefs for Continual Scientific Discoverycited by 1
- 2026Site4Drug: Predicting Drug-Binding Target Sites with an AI Agentcited by 0
- 2026Asterism: Exploring and Synthesizing Scattered Observations into Literature-Grounded Hypotheses and Theoriescited by 0
- 2026Asterism: Exploring and Synthesizing Scattered Observations into Literature-Grounded Hypotheses and Theories2 Oct 2026
- 2026Evidence-Informed LLM Beliefs for Continual Scientific Discovery28 Jun 2026
- 2026Site4Drug: Predicting Drug-Binding Target Sites with an AI Agent1 Jun 2026
- 2026LLM-AutoSciLab: Closed-Loop Scientific Discovery via Active Experimentation with LLMs21 May 2026