The Plausibility Trap: Using Probabilistic Engines for Deterministic Tasks
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Abstract (arXiv)
The ubiquity of Large Language Models (LLMs) is driving a paradigm shift where user convenience supersedes computational efficiency. This article defines the "Plausibility Trap": a phenomenon where individuals with access to Artificial Intelligence (AI) models deploy expensive probabilistic engines for simple deterministic tasks-such as Optical Character Recognition (OCR) or basic verification-resulting in significant resource waste. Through micro-benchmarks and case studies on OCR and fact-checking, we quantify the "efficiency tax"-demonstrating a ~6.5x latency penalty-and the risks of algorithmic sycophancy. To counter this, we introduce Tool Selection Engineering and the Deterministic-Probabilistic Decision Matrix, a framework to help developers determine when to use Generative AI and, crucially, when to avoid it. We argue for a curriculum shift, emphasizing that true digital literacy relies not only in knowing how to use Generative AI, but also on knowing when not to use it.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 2 of its 18 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Jan 2026.
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References · 2
- 2024Language Models Learn to Mislead Humans via RLHFcited by 124
- 2025Evaluating Large Language Models in Scientific Discoverycited by 42
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