CauScientist: Teaching LLMs to Respect Data for Causal Discovery
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Abstract (arXiv)
Causal discovery is fundamental to scientific understanding and reliable decision-making. Existing approaches face critical limitations: purely data-driven methods suffer from statistical indistinguishability and modeling assumptions, while recent LLM-based methods either ignore statistical evidence or incorporate unverified priors that can mislead result. To this end, we propose CauScientist, a collaborative framework that synergizes LLMs as hypothesis-generating "data scientists" with probabilistic statistics as rigorous "verifiers". CauScientist employs hybrid initialization to select superior starting graphs, iteratively refines structures through LLM-proposed modifications validated by statistical criteria, and maintains error memory to guide efficient search space. Experiments demonstrate that CauScientist substantially outperforms purely data-driven baselines, achieving up to 53.8% F1 score improvement and enhancing recall from 35.0% to 100.0%. Notably, while standalone LLM performance degrades with graph complexity, CauScientist reduces structural hamming distance (SHD) by 44.0% compared to Qwen3-32B on 37-node graphs. Our project page is at https://github.com/OpenCausaLab/CauScientist.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 8 of its 22 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Jan 2026.
Builds on
8 of 22 references.
References · 8
- 2018DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learningcited by 745
- 2013Causal Inference in the Presence of Latent Variables and Selection Biascited by 165
- 2022Amortized Inference for Causal Structure Learningcited by 89
- 2021Efficient Neural Causal Discovery without Acyclicity Constraintscited by 82
- 2023Causal Discovery with Language Models as Imperfect Expertscited by 62
- 2023Integrating Large Language Model for Improved Causal Discoverycited by 54
- 2023Causal Order: The Key to Leveraging Imperfect Experts in Causal Inferencecited by 46
- 2024Integrating Large Language Models in Causal Discovery: A Statistical Causal Approachcited by 31
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.
2 papers.