mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

CauScientist: Teaching LLMs to Respect Data for Causal Discovery

arXiv 2601.13614 ↗First posted 20 Jan 2026cs.CL cs.AI cs.LGcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

Causal discovery is fundamental to scientific understanding and reliable decision-making. Existing approaches face critical limitations: purely data-driven methods suffer from statistical indistinguishability and modeling assumptions, while recent LLM-based methods either ignore statistical evidence or incorporate unverified priors that can mislead result. To this end, we propose CauScientist, a collaborative framework that synergizes LLMs as hypothesis-generating "data scientists" with probabilistic statistics as rigorous "verifiers". CauScientist employs hybrid initialization to select superior starting graphs, iteratively refines structures through LLM-proposed modifications validated by statistical criteria, and maintains error memory to guide efficient search space. Experiments demonstrate that CauScientist substantially outperforms purely data-driven baselines, achieving up to 53.8% F1 score improvement and enhancing recall from 35.0% to 100.0%. Notably, while standalone LLM performance degrades with graph complexity, CauScientist reduces structural hamming distance (SHD) by 44.0% compared to Qwen3-32B on 37-node graphs. Our project page is at https://github.com/OpenCausaLab/CauScientist.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 8 of its 22 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 20 Jan 2026.

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8 of 22 references.

References · 8

  1. 2018DAGs with NO TEARS: Continuous Optimization for Structure Learningcited by 745
  2. 2013Causal Inference in the Presence of Latent Variables and Selection Biascited by 165
  3. 2022Amortized Inference for Causal Structure Learningcited by 89
  4. 2021Efficient Neural Causal Discovery without Acyclicity Constraintscited by 82
  5. 2023Causal Discovery with Language Models as Imperfect Expertscited by 62
  6. 2023Integrating Large Language Model for Improved Causal Discoverycited by 54
  7. 2023Causal Order: The Key to Leveraging Imperfect Experts in Causal Inferencecited by 46
  8. 2024Integrating Large Language Models in Causal Discovery: A Statistical Causal Approachcited by 31

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