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A Graph-based Framework for Online Time Series Anomaly Detection Using Model Ensemble

arXiv 2601.01403 ↗First posted 4 Jan 2026cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

With the increasing volume of streaming data in industrial systems, online anomaly detection has become a critical task. The diverse and rapidly evolving data patterns pose significant challenges for online anomaly detection. Many existing anomaly detection methods are designed for offline settings or have difficulty in handling heterogeneous streaming data effectively. This paper proposes GDME, an unsupervised graph-based framework for online time series anomaly detection using model ensemble. GDME maintains a dynamic model pool that is continuously updated by pruning underperforming models and introducing new ones. It utilizes a dynamic graph structure to represent relationships among models and employs community detection on the graph to select an appropriate subset for ensemble. The graph structure is also used to detect concept drift by monitoring structural changes, allowing the framework to adapt to evolving streaming data. Experiments on seven heterogeneous time series demonstrate that GDME outperforms existing online anomaly detection methods, achieving improvements of up to 24%. In addition, its ensemble strategy provides superior detection performance compared with both individual models and average ensembles, with competitive computational efficiency.

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References · 16

  1. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,141
  2. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  3. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,654
  4. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,400
  5. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,200
  6. 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,030
  7. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 906
  8. 2018Detecting Spacecraft Anomalies Using LSTMs and Nonparametric Dynamic Thresholdingcited by 407
  9. 2021SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interactioncited by 335
  10. 2023TSMixer: An All-MLP Architecture for Time Series Forecastingcited by 232
  11. 2024Deep Time Series Models: A Comprehensive Survey and Benchmarkcited by 191
  12. 2019Time-Series Anomaly Detection Service at Microsoftcited by 163
4 more
  1. 2022Less Is More: Fast Multivariate Time Series Forecasting with Light Sampling-oriented MLP Structurescited by 158
  2. 2023MTS-Mixers: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Factorized Temporal and Channel Mixingcited by 52
  3. 2022Adaptive Model Pooling for Online Deep Anomaly Detection from a Complex Evolving Data Streamcited by 13
  4. 2021MemStream: Memory-Based Streaming Anomaly Detectioncited by 12

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