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From Overfitting to Reliability: Introducing the Hierarchical Approximate Bayesian Neural Network

arXiv 2512.13111 ↗First posted 15 Dec 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In recent years, neural networks have revolutionized various domains, yet challenges such as hyperparameter tuning and overfitting remain significant hurdles. Bayesian neural networks offer a framework to address these challenges by incorporating uncertainty directly into the model, yielding more reliable predictions, particularly for out-of-distribution data. This paper presents Hierarchical Approximate Bayesian Neural Network, a novel approach that uses a Gaussian-inverse-Wishart distribution as a hyperprior of the network's weights to increase both the robustness and performance of the model. We provide analytical representations for the predictive distribution and weight posterior, which amount to the calculation of the parameters of Student's t-distributions in closed form with linear complexity with respect to the number of weights. Our method demonstrates robust performance, effectively addressing issues of overfitting and providing reliable uncertainty estimates, particularly for out-of-distribution tasks. Experimental results indicate that HABNN not only matches but often outperforms state-of-the-art models, suggesting a promising direction for future applications in safety-critical environments.

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References · 16

  1. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,416
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  3. 2021Laplace Redux -- Effortless Bayesian Deep Learningcited by 359
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  11. 2021The Peril of Popular Deep Learning Uncertainty Estimation Methodscited by 11
  12. 2021Kalman Bayesian Neural Networks for Closed-form Online Learningcited by 9
4 more
  1. 2020Tractable Approximate Gaussian Inference for Bayesian Neural Networkscited by 7
  2. 2017Batch Reinforcement Learning on the Industrial Benchmark: First Experiencescited by 5
  3. 2022Uncertainty Calibration in Bayesian Neural Networks via Distance-Aware Priorscited by 3
  4. 2025Student-t processes as infinite-width limits of posterior Bayesian neural networkscited by 3

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