mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Flexible Deep Neural Networks for Partially Linear Survival Data: Estimation and Survival Inference

arXiv 2512.10570 ↗First posted 11 Dec 2025stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We propose a flexible deep neural network (DNN) framework for modeling survival data within a partially linear regression structure. The approach preserves interpretability through a parametric linear component for covariates of primary interest, while a nonparametric DNN component captures complex time-covariate interactions among nuisance variables. We refer to the method as FLEXI-Haz, a FLEXIble Hazard model with a partially linear structure. In contrast to existing DNN approaches for partially linear Cox models, FLEXI-Haz does not rely on the proportional hazards assumption. We establish theoretical guarantees: the neural network component attains minimax-optimal convergence rates over composite H"older classes, the linear estimator is sqrt-n-consistent, asymptotically normal, and semiparametrically efficient, and we develop a cross-fitted one-step estimator of the cumulative hazard and survival function for a new subject, together with pointwise asymptotic confidence intervals. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first frequentist asymptotic pointwise inference result for a survival function in a DNN survival model, with or without a linear component. Simulations and real-data analyses demonstrate the utility of FLEXI-Haz as a principled and interpretable alternative to methods based on proportional hazards.

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References · 9

  1. 2017Nonparametric regression using deep neural networks with ReLU activation functioncited by 433
  2. 2016DeepSurv: Personalized Treatment Recommender System Using A Cox Proportional Hazards Deep Neural Networkcited by 358
  3. 2019Time-to-Event Prediction with Neural Networks and Cox Regressioncited by 175
  4. 2018A Scalable Discrete-Time Survival Model for Neural Networkscited by 72
  5. 2018Image-based Survival Analysis for Lung Cancer Patients using CNNscited by 11
  6. 2019Deep Convolutional Neural Networks for Imaging Data Based Survival Analysis of Rectal Cancercited by 8
  7. 2022Conditional Distribution Function Estimation Using Neural Networks for Censored and Uncensored Datacited by 7
  8. 2020Optimal Cox Regression Subsampling Procedure with Rare Eventscited by 3
  9. 2024Confidence Intervals and Simultaneous Confidence Bands Based on Deep Learningcited by 1

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