Enabling Delayed-Full Charging Through Transformer-Based Real-Time-to-Departure Modeling for EV Battery Longevity
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Abstract (arXiv)
Electric vehicles (EVs) are key to sustainable mobility, yet their lithium-ion batteries (LIBs) degrade more rapidly under prolonged high states of charge (SOC). This can be mitigated by delaying full charging ours until just before departure, which requires accurate prediction of user departure times. In this work, we propose Transformer-based real-time-to-event (TTE) model for accurate EV departure prediction. Our approach represents each day as a TTE sequence by discretizing time into grid-based tokens. Unlike previous methods primarily dependent on temporal dependency from historical patterns, our method leverages streaming contextual information to predict departures. Evaluation on a real-world study involving 93 users and passive smartphone data demonstrates that our method effectively captures irregular departure patterns within individual routines, outperforming baseline models. These results highlight the potential for practical deployment of the ours algorithm and its contribution to sustainable transportation systems.
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References · 8
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- 2019Time-to-Event Prediction with Neural Networks and Cox Regressioncited by 175
- 2021SurvTRACE: Transformers for Survival Analysis with Competing Eventscited by 41
- 2023Spatio-Temporal Graph Neural Point Process for Traffic Congestion Event Predictioncited by 13
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- 2019Predicting Urban Dispersal Events: A Two-Stage Framework through Deep Survival Analysis on Mobility Datacited by 3
- 2024TransformerLSR: Attentive Joint Model of Longitudinal Data, Survival, and Recurrent Events with Concurrent Latent Structurecited by 3
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