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Sepsis Prediction Using Graph Convolutional Networks over Patient-Feature-Value Triplets

arXiv 2512.05416 ↗First posted 5 Dec 2025cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In the intensive care setting, sepsis continues to be a major contributor to patient illness and death; however, its timely detection is hindered by the complex, sparse, and heterogeneous nature of electronic health record (EHR) data. We propose Triplet-GCN, a single-branch graph convolutional model that represents each encounter as patient-feature-value triplets, constructs a bipartite EHR graph, and learns patient embeddings via a Graph Convolutional Network (GCN) followed by a lightweight multilayer perceptron (MLP). The pipeline applies type-specific preprocessing -- median imputation and standardization for numeric variables, effect coding for binary features, and mode imputation with low-dimensional embeddings for rare categorical attributes -- and initializes patient nodes with summary statistics, while retaining measurement values on edges to preserve "who measured what and by how much". In a retrospective, multi-center Chinese cohort (N = 648; 70/30 train-test split) drawn from three tertiary hospitals, Triplet-GCN consistently outperforms strong tabular baselines (KNN, SVM, XGBoost, Random Forest) across discrimination and balanced error metrics, yielding a more favorable sensitivity-specificity trade-off and improved overall utility for early warning. These findings indicate that encoding EHR as triplets and propagating information over a patient-feature graph produce more informative patient representations than feature-independent models, offering a simple, end-to-end blueprint for deployable sepsis risk stratification.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 89 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Dec 2025.

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References · 9

  1. 2016Semi-Supervised Classification with Graph Convolutional Networkscited by 11,361
  2. 2017Graph Attention Networkscited by 8,923
  3. 2019Heterogeneous Graph Attention Networkcited by 734
  4. 2018Disease Prediction using Graph Convolutional Networks: Application to Autism Spectrum Disorder and Alzheimer's Diseasecited by 99
  5. 2021Graph Representation Learning in Biomedicinecited by 80
  6. 2019MGP-AttTCN: An Interpretable Machine Learning Model for the Prediction of Sepsiscited by 8
  7. 2024Multi-task Heterogeneous Graph Learning on Electronic Health Recordscited by 5
  8. 2024Explainable AI for Fair Sepsis Mortality Predictive Modelcited by 4
  9. 2025Early Prediction of Sepsis: Feature-Aligned Transfer Learningcited by 1

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