Active Hypothesis Testing under Computational Budgets with Applications to GWAS and LLM
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Abstract (arXiv)
In large-scale hypothesis testing, computing exact p-values or e-values is often resource-intensive, creating a need for budget-aware inferential methods. We propose a general framework for active hypothesis testing that leverages inexpensive auxiliary statistics to allocate a global computational budget. For each hypothesis, our data-adaptive procedure probabilistically decides whether to compute the exact test statistic or a transformed proxy, guaranteeing a valid p-value or e-value while satisfying the exact budget constraint. Theoretical guarantees are established for our constructions, showing that the procedure achieves optimality for e-values and for p-values under independence, and admissibility for p-values under general dependence. Empirical results from simulations and two real-world applications, including a large-scale genome-wide association study (GWAS) and a clinical prediction task leveraging large language models (LLM), demonstrate that our framework improves statistical efficiency under fixed resource limits.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 1 Dec 2025.
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