APT: Affine Prototype-Timestamp For Time Series Forecasting Under Distribution Shift
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Abstract (arXiv)
Time series forecasting under distribution shift remains challenging, as existing deep learning models often rely on local statistical normalization (e.g., mean and variance) that fails to capture global distribution shift. Methods like RevIN and its variants attempt to decouple distribution and pattern but still struggle with missing values, noisy observations, and invalid channel-wise affine transformation. To address these limitations, we propose Affine Prototype Timestamp (APT), a lightweight and flexible plug-in module that injects global distribution features into the normalization-forecasting pipeline. By leveraging timestamp conditioned prototype learning, APT dynamically generates affine parameters that modulate both input and output series, enabling the backbone to learn from self-supervised, distribution-aware clustered instances. APT is compatible with arbitrary forecasting backbones and normalization strategies while introducing minimal computational overhead. Extensive experiments across six benchmark datasets and multiple backbone-normalization combinations demonstrate that APT significantly improves forecasting performance under distribution shift.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 17 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 17 Nov 2025.
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17 of 28 references.
References · 17
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5 more
- 2024FreDF: Learning to Forecast in the Frequency Domaincited by 79
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