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Data-driven Feynman-Kac Discovery with Applications to Prediction and Data Generation

arXiv 2511.08606 ↗First posted 5 Nov 2025q-fin.MF cs.AI q-fin.CPcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In this paper, we propose a novel data-driven framework for discovering probabilistic laws underlying the Feynman-Kac formula. Specifically, we introduce the first stochastic SINDy method formulated under the risk-neutral probability measure to recover the backward stochastic differential equation (BSDE) from a single pair of stock and option trajectories. Unlike existing approaches to identifying stochastic differential equations-which typically require ergodicity-our framework leverages the risk-neutral measure, thereby eliminating the ergodicity assumption and enabling BSDE recovery from limited financial time series data. Using this algorithm, we are able not only to make forward-looking predictions but also to generate new synthetic data paths consistent with the underlying probabilistic law.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 5 Nov 2025.

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