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Real-Time Performance Analysis of Multi-Fidelity Residual Physics-Informed Neural Process-Based State Estimation for Robotic Systems

arXiv 2511.08231 ↗First posted 11 Nov 2025cs.RO cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Various neural network architectures are used in many of the state-of-the-art approaches for real-time nonlinear state estimation. With the ever-increasing incorporation of these data-driven models into the estimation domain, model predictions with reliable margins of error are a requirement -- especially for safety-critical applications. This paper discusses the application of a novel real-time, data-driven estimation approach based on the multi-fidelity residual physics-informed neural process (MFR-PINP) toward the real-time state estimation of a robotic system. Specifically, we address the model-mismatch issue of selecting an accurate kinematic model by tasking the MFR-PINP to also learn the residuals between simple, low-fidelity predictions and complex, high-fidelity ground-truth dynamics. To account for model uncertainty present in a physical implementation, robust uncertainty guarantees from the split conformal (SC) prediction framework are modeled in the training and inference paradigms. We provide implementation details of our MFR-PINP-based estimator for a hybrid online learning setting to validate our model's usage in real-time applications. Experimental results of our approach's performance in comparison to the state-of-the-art variants of the Kalman filter (i.e. unscented Kalman filter and deep Kalman filter) in estimation scenarios showed promising results for the MFR-PINP model as a viable option in real-time estimation tasks.

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References · 15

  1. 2022Conformal prediction beyond exchangeabilitycited by 355
  2. 2019Attentive Neural Processescited by 283
  3. 2015Deep Kalman Filterscited by 166
  4. 2021KalmanNet: Neural Network Aided Kalman Filtering for Partially Known Dynamicscited by 132
  5. 2022Multifidelity deep neural operators for efficient learning of partial differential equations with application to fast inverse design of nanoscale heat transportcited by 92
  6. 2018Probabilistic Recurrent State-Space Modelscited by 64
  7. 2019Deep Gaussian Processes for Multi-fidelity Modelingcited by 50
  8. 2020Fast Online Adaptation in Robotics through Meta-Learning Embeddings of Simulated Priorscited by 22
  9. 2023Can a Transformer Represent a Kalman Filter?cited by 20
  10. 2022Multi-fidelity Hierarchical Neural Processescited by 15
  11. 2024Multi-Fidelity Residual Neural Processes for Scalable Surrogate Modelingcited by 13
  12. 2023Multi-fidelity Bayesian Optimization: A Reviewcited by 12
3 more
  1. 2024Multi-fidelity Gaussian process surrogate modeling for regression problems in physicscited by 4
  2. 2024Deep Learning Assisted Inertial Dead Reckoning and Fusioncited by 2
  3. 2025Hybrid State Estimation of Uncertain Nonlinear Dynamics Using Neural Processescited by 1

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