mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

ITPP: Learning Disentangled Event Dynamics in Marked Temporal Point Processes

arXiv 2511.06032 ↗First posted 8 Nov 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Marked Temporal Point Processes (MTPPs) provide a principled framework for modeling asynchronous event sequences by conditioning on the history of past events. However, most existing MTPP models rely on channel-mixing strategies that encode information from different event types into a single, fixed-size latent representation. This entanglement can obscure type-specific dynamics, leading to performance degradation and increased risk of overfitting. In this work, we introduce ITPP, a novel channel-independent architecture for MTPP modeling that decouples event type information using an encoder-decoder framework with an ODE-based backbone. Central to ITPP is a type-aware inverted self-attention mechanism, designed to explicitly model inter-channel correlations among heterogeneous event types. This architecture enhances effectiveness and robustness while reducing overfitting. Comprehensive experiments on multiple real-world and synthetic datasets demonstrate that ITPP consistently outperforms state-of-the-art MTPP models in both predictive accuracy and generalization.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 12 of its 26 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Nov 2025.

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References · 12

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 60,361
  2. 2018Neural Ordinary Differential Equationscited by 3,779
  3. 2019GRU-ODE-Bayes: Continuous modeling of sporadically-observed time seriescited by 231
  4. 2019Neural Jump Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 150
  5. 2021Equinox: neural networks in JAX via callable PyTrees and filtered transformationscited by 148
  6. 2019Intensity-Free Learning of Temporal Point Processescited by 140
  7. 2019Fully Neural Network based Model for General Temporal Point Processescited by 122
  8. 2020Neural Spatio-Temporal Point Processescited by 93
  9. 2021Transformer Embeddings of Irregularly Spaced Events and Their Participantscited by 93
  10. 2022HYPRO: A Hybridly Normalized Probabilistic Model for Long-Horizon Prediction of Event Sequencescited by 57
  11. 2023Non-Autoregressive Diffusion-based Temporal Point Processes for Continuous-Time Long-Term Event Predictioncited by 7
  12. 2023Intensity-free Convolutional Temporal Point Process: Incorporating Local and Global Event Contextscited by 6

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