Discovering EV Charging Site Archetypes Through Few Shot Forecasting: The First U.S.-Wide Study
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Abstract (arXiv)
The decarbonization of transportation relies on the widespread adoption of electric vehicles (EVs), which requires an accurate understanding of charging behavior to ensure cost-effective, grid-resilient infrastructure. Existing work is constrained by small-scale datasets, simple proximity-based modeling of temporal dependencies, and weak generalization to sites with limited operational history. To overcome these limitations, this work proposes a framework that integrates clustering with few-shot forecasting to uncover site archetypes using a novel large-scale dataset of charging demand. The results demonstrate that archetype-specific expert models outperform global baselines in forecasting demand at unseen sites. By establishing forecast performance as a basis for infrastructure segmentation, we generate actionable insights that enable operators to lower costs, optimize energy and pricing strategies, and support grid resilience critical to climate goals.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 13 Oct 2026). Builds on 6 of its 26 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 30 Oct 2025.
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References · 6
- 2018An Empirical Evaluation of Generic Convolutional and Recurrent Networks for Sequence Modelingcited by 1,460
- 2019Temporal Fusion Transformers for Interpretable Multi-horizon Time Series Forecastingcited by 756
- 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 751
- 2019catch22: CAnonical Time-series CHaracteristicscited by 104
- 2021Deep Spatio-Temporal Forecasting of Electrical Vehicle Charging Demandcited by 5
- 2024Towards Using Machine Learning to Generatively Simulate EV Charging in Urban Areascited by 1
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