Machine Learning Guided Optimal Transmission Switching to Mitigate Wildfire Ignition Risk
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Abstract (arXiv)
To mitigate acute wildfire ignition risks, utilities de-energize power lines in high-risk areas. The Optimal Power Shutoff (OPS) problem optimizes line energization statuses to manage wildfire ignition risks through de-energizations while reducing load shedding. OPS problems are computationally challenging Mixed-Integer Linear Programs (MILPs) that must be solved rapidly and frequently in operational settings. For a particular power system, OPS instances share a common structure with varying parameters related to wildfire risks, loads, and renewable generation. This motivates the use of Machine Learning (ML) for solving OPS problems by exploiting shared patterns across instances. In this paper, we develop an ML-guided framework that quickly produces high-quality de-energization decisions by extending existing ML-guided MILP solution methods while integrating domain knowledge on the number of energized and de-energized lines. Results on a large-scale realistic California-based synthetic test system show that the proposed ML-guided method produces high-quality solutions faster than traditional optimization methods.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 22 of its 41 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Oct 2025.
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22 of 41 references.
References · 22
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- 2021How Attentive are Graph Attention Networks?cited by 835
- 2019Exact Combinatorial Optimization with Graph Convolutional Neural Networkscited by 318
- 2023A GNN-Guided Predict-and-Search Framework for Mixed-Integer Linear Programmingcited by 41
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- 2024Machine Learning Augmented Branch and Bound for Mixed Integer Linear Programmingcited by 24
- 2024Distributional MIPLIB: a Multi-Domain Library for Advancing ML-Guided MILP Methodscited by 15
- 2020Balancing Wildfire Risk and Power Outages through Optimized Power Shut-Offscited by 9
- 2022Spatio-Temporal Wildfire Prediction using Multi-Modal Datacited by 6
- 2022Optimizing Transmission Infrastructure Investments to Support Line De-energization for Mitigating Wildfire Ignition Riskcited by 4
- 2021A Framework for Risk Assessment and Optimal Line Upgrade Selection to Mitigate Wildfire Riskcited by 2
- 2022Predicting Electricity Infrastructure Induced Wildfire Risk in Californiacited by 2
10 more
- 2023Multi-period Power System Risk Minimization under Wildfire Disruptionscited by 2
- 2023Managing Wildfire Risk and Promoting Equity through Optimal Configuration of Networked Microgridscited by 2
- 2023Long Solution Times or Low Solution Quality: On Trade-Offs in Choosing a Power Flow Formulation for the Optimal Power Shutoff Problemcited by 2
- 2024Equitably allocating wildfire resilience investments for power grids: The curse of aggregation and vulnerability indicescited by 2
- 2022Co-optimization of power line shutoff and restoration under high wildfire ignition riskcited by 1
- 2022California Test System (CATS): A Geographically Accurate Test System based on the California Gridcited by 1
- 2024Long Duration Battery Sizing, Siting, and Operation Under Wildfire Risk Using Progressive Hedgingcited by 1
- 2024Quantifying Metrics for Wildfire Ignition Risk from Geographic Data in Power Shutoff Decision-Makingcited by 1
- 2025Evaluating Undergrounding Decisions for Wildfire Ignition Risk Mitigation across Multiple Hazardscited by 1
- 2025Optimizing Battery and Line Undergrounding Investments for Transmission Systems under Wildfire Risk Scenarios: A Benders Decomposition Approachcited by 1
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