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Decentralized Causal Discovery using Judo Calculus

arXiv 2510.23942 ↗First posted 27 Oct 2025cs.AIcited by 2

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Abstract (arXiv)

We describe a theory and implementation of an intuitionistic decentralized framework for causal discovery using judo calculus, which is formally defined as j-stable causal inference using j-do-calculus in a topos of sheaves. In real-world applications -- from biology to medicine and social science -- causal effects depend on regime (age, country, dose, genotype, or lab protocol). Our proposed judo calculus formalizes this context dependence formally as local truth: a causal claim is proven true on a cover of regimes, not everywhere at once. The Lawvere-Tierney modal operator j chooses which regimes are relevant; j-stability means the claim holds constructively and consistently across that family. We describe an algorithmic and implementation framework for judo calculus, combining it with standard score-based, constraint-based, and gradient-based causal discovery methods. We describe experimental results on a range of domains, from synthetic to real-world datasets from biology and economics. Our experimental results show the computational efficiency gained by the decentralized nature of sheaf-theoretic causal discovery, as well as improved performance over classical causal discovery methods.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 4 of its 20 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 27 Oct 2025.

Builds on

4 of 20 references.

References · 4

  1. 2020Differentiable Causal Discovery from Interventional Datacited by 218
  2. 2017Learning Independent Causal Mechanismscited by 104
  3. 2025Intuitionistic j-Do-Calculus in Topos Causal Modelscited by 4
  4. 2023Causal health impacts of power plant emission controls under modeled and uncertain physical process interferencecited by 3

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Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 1.

2 papers.