mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Parallel BiLSTM-Transformer networks for forecasting chaotic dynamics

arXiv 2510.23685 ↗First posted 27 Oct 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

The nonlinear nature of chaotic systems results in extreme sensitivity to initial conditions and highly intricate dynamical behaviors, posing fundamental challenges for accurately predicting their evolution. To overcome the limitation that conventional approaches fail to capture both local features and global dependencies in chaotic time series simultaneously, this study proposes a parallel predictive framework integrating Transformer and Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory (BiLSTM) networks. The hybrid model employs a dual-branch architecture, where the Transformer branch mainly captures long-range dependencies while the BiLSTM branch focuses on extracting local temporal features. The complementary representations from the two branches are fused in a dedicated feature-fusion layer to enhance predictive accuracy. As illustrating examples, the model's performance is systematically evaluated on two representative tasks in the Lorenz system. The first is autonomous evolution prediction, in which the model recursively extrapolates system trajectories from the time-delay embeddings of the state vector to evaluate long-term tracking accuracy and stability. The second is inference of unmeasured variable, where the model reconstructs the unobserved states from the time-delay embeddings of partial observations to assess its state-completion capability. The results consistently indicate that the proposed hybrid framework outperforms both single-branch architectures across tasks, demonstrating its robustness and effectiveness in chaotic system prediction.

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References · 15

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  10. 2021Using Data Assimilation to Train a Hybrid Forecast System that Combines Machine-Learning and Knowledge-Based Componentscited by 18
  11. 2024Attractor Memory for Long-Term Time Series Forecasting: A Chaos Perspectivecited by 17
  12. 2021Working Memory Connections for LSTMcited by 10
3 more
  1. 2024Hybridizing Traditional and Next-Generation Reservoir Computing to Accurately and Efficiently Forecast Dynamical Systemscited by 6
  2. 2025Dynamical errors in machine learning forecastscited by 5
  3. 2025Deterministic Reservoir Computing for Chaotic Time Series Predictioncited by 3

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