Structure Over Signal: A Globalized Approach to Multi-relational GNNs for Stock Prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
In financial markets, Graph Neural Networks have been successfully applied to modeling relational data, effectively capturing nonlinear inter-stock dependencies. Yet, existing models often fail to efficiently propagate messages during macroeconomic shocks. In this paper, we propose OmniGNN, an attention-based multi-relational dynamic GNN that integrates macroeconomic context via heterogeneous node and edge types for robust message passing. Central to OmniGNN is a sector node acting as a global intermediary, enabling rapid shock propagation across the graph without relying on long-range multi-hop diffusion. The model leverages Graph Attention Networks (GAT) to weigh neighbor contributions and employs Transformers to capture temporal dynamics across multiplex relations. Experiments show that OmniGNN outperforms existing stock prediction models on public datasets, particularly demonstrating strong robustness during the COVID-19 period.
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References · 8
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- 2021Graph Neural Network for Traffic Forecasting: A Surveycited by 261
- 2023A Survey on Oversmoothing in Graph Neural Networkscited by 247
- 2024RNNs are not Transformers (Yet): The Key Bottleneck on In-context Retrievalcited by 64
- 2019Exploring Graph Neural Networks for Stock Market Predictions with Rolling Window Analysiscited by 27
- 2024Molecular Topological Profile (MOLTOP) -- Simple and Strong Baseline for Molecular Graph Classificationcited by 7
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