Population synthesis with geographic coordinates
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Abstract (arXiv)
It is increasingly important to generate synthetic populations with explicit coordinates rather than coarse geographic areas, yet no established methods exist to achieve this. One reason is that latitude and longitude differ from other continuous variables, exhibiting large empty spaces and highly uneven densities. To address this, we propose a population synthesis algorithm that first maps spatial coordinates into a more regular latent space using Normalizing Flows (NF), and then combines them with other features in a Variational Autoencoder (VAE) to generate synthetic populations. This approach also learns the joint distribution between spatial and non-spatial features, exploiting spatial autocorrelations. We demonstrate the method by generating synthetic homes with the same statistical properties of real homes in 121 datasets, corresponding to diverse geographies. We further propose an evaluation framework that measures both spatial accuracy and practical utility, while ensuring privacy preservation. Our results show that the NF+VAE architecture outperforms popular benchmarks, including copula-based methods and uniform allocation within geographic areas. The ability to generate geolocated synthetic populations at fine spatial resolution opens the door to applications requiring detailed geography, from household responses to floods, to epidemic spread, evacuation planning, and transport modeling.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 13 of its 54 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Oct 2025.
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13 of 54 references.
References · 13
- 2019An Introduction to Variational Autoencoderscited by 997
- 2019Neural Spline Flowscited by 590
- 2016Tutorial on Variational Autoencoderscited by 404
- 2017Real-valued (Medical) Time Series Generation with Recurrent Conditional GANscited by 329
- 2021How Faithful is your Synthetic Data? Sample-level Metrics for Evaluating and Auditing Generative Modelscited by 193
- 2021DECAF: Generating Fair Synthetic Data Using Causally-Aware Generative Networkscited by 109
- 2022Statistical, Robustness, and Computational Guarantees for Sliced Wasserstein Distancescited by 41
- 2023Reimagining Synthetic Tabular Data Generation through Data-Centric AI: A Comprehensive Benchmarkcited by 23
- 2019Prediction of rare feature combinations in population synthesis: Application of deep generative modellingcited by 18
- 2022Effect of Balancing Data Using Synthetic Data on the Performance of Machine Learning Classifiers for Intrusion Detection in Computer Networkscited by 11
- 2025Synthetic Tabular Data: Methods, Attacks and Defensescited by 8
- 2022Survey on Privacy-Preserving Techniques for Data Publishingcited by 3
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