Neural Optimal Transport Meets Multivariate Conformal Prediction
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Abstract (arXiv)
We propose a framework for conditional vector quantile regression (CVQR) that combines neural optimal transport with amortized optimization, and apply it to multivariate conformal prediction. Classical quantile regression does not extend naturally to multivariate responses, while existing approaches often ignore the geometry of joint distributions. Our method parametrizes the conditional vector quantile function as the gradient of a convex potential implemented by an input-convex neural network, ensuring monotonicity and uniform ranks. To reduce the cost of solving high-dimensional variational problems, we introduced amortized optimization of the dual potentials, yielding efficient training and faster inference. We then exploit the induced multivariate ranks for conformal prediction, constructing distribution-free predictive regions with finite-sample validity. Unlike coordinatewise methods, our approach adapts to the geometry of the conditional distribution, producing tighter and more informative regions. Experiments on benchmark datasets show improved coverage-efficiency trade-offs compared to baselines, highlighting the benefits of integrating neural optimal transport with conformal prediction.
Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 27 of its 56 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 29 Sep 2025.
Builds on
27 of 56 references.
References · 27
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15 more
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- 2021Calibrated Multiple-Output Quantile Regression with Representation Learningcited by 50
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.
2 papers.
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- 2026Brenier Isotonic Regression11 Mar 2026
- 2026Conformal Graph Prediction with Z-Gromov-Wasserstein Distances2 Mar 2026