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Proximity-Based Evidence Retrieval for Uncertainty-Aware Neural Networks

arXiv 2509.13338 ↗First posted 11 Sep 2025cs.CV cs.AI cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

This work proposes an evidence-retrieval mechanism for uncertainty-aware decision-making that replaces a single global cutoff with an evidence-conditioned, instance-adaptive criterion. For each test instance, proximal exemplars are retrieved in an embedding space; their predictive distributions are fused via Dempster-Shafer theory. The resulting fused belief acts as a per-instance thresholding mechanism. Because the supporting evidences are explicit, decisions are transparent and auditable. Experiments on CIFAR-10/100 with BiT and ViT backbones show higher or comparable uncertainty-aware performance with materially fewer confidently incorrect outcomes and a sustainable review load compared with applying threshold on prediction entropy. Notably, only a few evidences are sufficient to realize these gains; increasing the evidence set yields only modest changes. These results indicate that evidence-conditioned tagging provides a more reliable and interpretable alternative to fixed prediction entropy thresholds for operational uncertainty-aware decision-making.

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References · 16

  1. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
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  3. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
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  7. 2017Bayesian Recurrent Neural Networkscited by 39
  8. 2022Region-Based Evidential Deep Learning to Quantify Uncertainty and Improve Robustness of Brain Tumor Segmentationcited by 21
  9. 2020Objective Evaluation of Deep Uncertainty Predictions for COVID-19 Detectioncited by 20
  10. 2021An evidential classifier based on Dempster-Shafer theory and deep learningcited by 18
  11. 2021MCUa: Multi-level Context and Uncertainty aware Dynamic Deep Ensemble for Breast Cancer Histology Image Classificationcited by 12
  12. 2021Uncertainty-Aware Credit Card Fraud Detection Using Deep Learningcited by 10
4 more
  1. 2020Using Bayesian deep learning approaches for uncertainty-aware building energy surrogate modelscited by 5
  2. 2021An Uncertainty-Aware Deep Learning Framework for Defect Detection in Casting Productscited by 4
  3. 2020A novel multi-classifier information fusion based on Dempster-Shafer theory: application to vibration-based fault detectioncited by 3
  4. 2021CNN-DST: ensemble deep learning based on Dempster-Shafer theory for vibration-based fault recognitioncited by 3

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