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Twin-Boot: Uncertainty-Aware Optimization via Online Two-Sample Bootstrapping

arXiv 2508.15019 ↗First posted 20 Aug 2025cs.LG cs.AI stat.COcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Standard gradient descent methods yield point estimates with no measure of confidence. This limitation is acute in overparameterized and low-data regimes, where models have many parameters relative to available data and can easily overfit. Bootstrapping is a classical statistical framework for uncertainty estimation based on resampling, but naively applying it to deep learning is impractical: it requires training many replicas, produces post-hoc estimates that cannot guide learning, and implicitly assumes comparable optima across runs - an assumption that fails in non-convex landscapes. We introduce Twin-Bootstrap Gradient Descent (Twin-Boot), a resampling-based training procedure that integrates uncertainty estimation into optimization. Two identical models are trained in parallel on independent bootstrap samples, and a periodic mean-reset keeps both trajectories in the same basin so that their divergence reflects local (within-basin) uncertainty. During training, we use this estimate to sample weights in an adaptive, data-driven way, providing regularization that favors flatter solutions. In deep neural networks and complex high-dimensional inverse problems, the approach improves calibration and generalization and yields interpretable uncertainty maps.

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References · 11

  1. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
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  5. 2020Sharpness-Aware Minimization for Efficiently Improving Generalizationcited by 1,417
  6. 2016On Large-Batch Training for Deep Learning: Generalization Gap and Sharp Minimacited by 1,352
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  9. 2016The CMA Evolution Strategy: A Tutorialcited by 377
  10. 2014Stochastic Gradient Hamiltonian Monte Carlocited by 343
  11. 2017Stochastic Gradient Descent as Approximate Bayesian Inferencecited by 300

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