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Multi-Channel Graph Neural Network for Financial Risk Prediction of NEEQ Enterprises

arXiv 2507.12787 ↗First posted 17 Jul 2025cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

With the continuous evolution of China's multi-level capital market, the National Equities Exchange and Quotations (NEEQ), also known as the "New Third Board," has become a critical financing platform for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). However, due to their limited scale and financial resilience, many NEEQ-listed companies face elevated risks of financial distress. To address this issue, we propose a multi-channel deep learning framework that integrates structured financial indicators, textual disclosures, and enterprise relationship data for comprehensive financial risk prediction. Specifically, we design a Triple-Channel Graph Isomorphism Network (GIN) that processes numeric, textual, and graph-based inputs separately. These modality-specific representations are fused using an attention-based mechanism followed by a gating unit to enhance robustness and prediction accuracy. Experimental results on data from 7,731 real-world NEEQ companies demonstrate that our model significantly outperforms traditional machine learning methods and single-modality baselines in terms of AUC, Precision, Recall, and F1 Score. This work provides theoretical and practical insights into risk modeling for SMEs and offers a data-driven tool to support financial regulators and investors.

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References · 4

  1. 2017Attention Is All You Needcited by 60,361
  2. 2016SGDR: Stochastic Gradient Descent with Warm Restartscited by 5,045
  3. 2017Squeeze-and-Excitation Networkscited by 4,789
  4. 2018How Powerful are Graph Neural Networks?cited by 4,393

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