Property Elicitation on Imprecise Probabilities
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Abstract (arXiv)
Property elicitation studies which attributes of a probability distribution can be determined by minimizing a risk. We investigate a generalization of property elicitation to imprecise probabilities (IP). This investigation is motivated by distributionally robust optimization and multi-distribution learning. Both those frameworks replace the minimization of a single risk over a (precise) probability by a maximin risk minimization over a set of probabilities -- i.e. an IP. We show what can be learned in those multi-distribution setups by providing necessary and sufficient conditions for the elicitability of an IP-property. Central to these conditions is the observation made in related literature that the elicited IP-property is the corresponding classical property of the probability in the IP with the maximum Bayes risk.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 5 of its 31 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 8 Jul 2025.
Builds on
5 of 31 references.
References · 5
- 2019Distributionally Robust Optimization: A Reviewcited by 76
- 2022On-Demand Sampling: Learning Optimally from Multiple Distributionscited by 39
- 2024Scoring Rules and Calibration for Imprecise Probabilitiescited by 10
- 2019Forecast Evaluation of Quantiles, Prediction Intervals, and other Set-Valued Functionalscited by 7
- 2025Truthful Elicitation of Imprecise Forecastscited by 6
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Citing papers per year: 2026: 3.
3 papers.