mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

FAF: A Feature-Adaptive Framework for Few-Shot Time Series Forecasting

arXiv 2506.19567 ↗First posted 24 Jun 2025cs.LG cs.AIcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Multi-task and few-shot time series forecasting tasks are commonly encountered in scenarios such as the launch of new products in different cities. However, traditional time series forecasting methods suffer from insufficient historical data, which stems from a disregard for the generalized and specific features among different tasks. For the aforementioned challenges, we propose the Feature-Adaptive Time Series Forecasting Framework (FAF), which consists of three key components: the Generalized Knowledge Module (GKM), the Task-Specific Module (TSM), and the Rank Module (RM). During training phase, the GKM is updated through a meta-learning mechanism that enables the model to extract generalized features across related tasks. Meanwhile, the TSM is trained to capture diverse local dynamics through multiple functional regions, each of which learns specific features from individual tasks. During testing phase, the RM dynamically selects the most relevant functional region from the TSM based on input sequence features, which is then combined with the generalized knowledge learned by the GKM to generate accurate forecasts. This design enables FAF to achieve robust and personalized forecasting even with sparse historical observations We evaluate FAF on five diverse real-world datasets under few-shot time series forecasting settings. Experimental results demonstrate that FAF consistently outperforms baselines that include three categories of time series forecasting methods. In particular, FAF achieves a 41.81% improvement over the best baseline, iTransformer, on the CO2 emissions dataset.

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References · 20

  1. 2017Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networkscited by 4,897
  2. 2020Informer: Beyond Efficient Transformer for Long Sequence Time-Series Forecastingcited by 2,169
  3. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 2,039
  4. 2021Autoformer: Decomposition Transformers with Auto-Correlation for Long-Term Series Forecastingcited by 1,676
  5. 2015Convolutional LSTM Network: A Machine Learning Approach for Precipitation Nowcastingcited by 1,436
  6. 2022Are Transformers Effective for Time Series Forecasting?cited by 1,424
  7. 2014On the Properties of Neural Machine Translation: Encoder-Decoder Approachescited by 1,304
  8. 2022FEDformer: Frequency Enhanced Decomposed Transformer for Long-term Series Forecastingcited by 1,210
  9. 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,058
  10. 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 931
  11. 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 753
  12. 2018Taskonomy: Disentangling Task Transfer Learningcited by 634
8 more
  1. 2021SCINet: Time Series Modeling and Forecasting with Sample Convolution and Interactioncited by 338
  2. 2024Large Language Models for Time Series: A Surveycited by 114
  3. 2023MTS-Mixers: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Factorized Temporal and Channel Mixingcited by 53
  4. 2019Unsupervised Reinforcement Learning of Transferable Meta-Skills for Embodied Navigationcited by 40
  5. 2024Improving Large Models with Small models: Lower Costs and Better Performancecited by 14
  6. 2022Graph Convolutional Networks for Traffic Forecasting with Missing Valuescited by 7
  7. 2022Robust Meta-learning with Sampling Noise and Label Noise via Eigen-Reptilecited by 6
  8. 2024Logic Distillation: Learning from Code Function by Function for Decision-making Taskscited by 5

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