Risk-Guided Diffusion: Toward Deploying Robot Foundation Models in Space, Where Failure Is Not An Option
On the map: Diffusion models → Diffusion and flow policies for robotics
Abstract (arXiv)
Safe, reliable navigation in extreme, unfamiliar terrain is required for future robotic space exploration missions. Recent generative-AI methods learn semantically aware navigation policies from large, cross-embodiment datasets, but offer limited safety guarantees. Inspired by human cognitive science, we propose a risk-guided diffusion framework that fuses a fast, learned "System-1" with a slow, physics-based "System-2", sharing computation at both training and inference to couple adaptability with formal safety. Hardware experiments conducted at the NASA JPL's Mars-analog facility, Mars Yard, show that our approach reduces failure rates by up to 4× while matching the goal-reaching performance of learning-based robotic models by leveraging inference-time compute without any additional training.
Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Placed in Diffusion and flow policies for robotics, one of 14 directions in Diffusion models. Builds on 17 of its 21 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 21 Jun 2025.
Builds on
17 of 21 references.
Closest ancestors · 5
Same direction, newest first
- 2025Monte Carlo Tree Diffusion for System 2 Planning11 Feb
- 2024DTG : Diffusion-based Trajectory Generation for Mapless Global Navigation14 Mar
- 2023NoMaD: Goal Masked Diffusion Policies for Navigation and Exploration11 Oct
- 2023SafeDiffuser: Safe Planning with Diffusion Probabilistic Models31 May
- 2023Diffusion Policy: Visuomotor Policy Learning via Action Diffusion7 Mar
Other references · 12
- 2020Score-Based Generative Modeling through Stochastic Differential Equationscited by 9,122
- 2021Diffusion Models Beat GANs on Image Synthesiscited by 8,255
- 2024OpenVLA: An Open-Source Vision-Language-Action Modelcited by 2,887
- 2025GR00T N1: An Open Foundation Model for Generalist Humanoid Robotscited by 1,225
- 2023Open X-Embodiment: Robotic Learning Datasets and RT-X Modelscited by 862
- 2016Control Barrier Function Based Quadratic Programs for Safety Critical Systemscited by 287
- 2022GNM: A General Navigation Model to Drive Any Robotcited by 171
- 2024Constrained Synthesis with Projected Diffusion Modelscited by 89
- 2025Scaling Test-Time Compute Without Verification or RL is Suboptimalcited by 84
- 2023Fast Traversability Estimation for Wild Visual Navigationcited by 44
- 2020Autonomous Spot: Long-Range Autonomous Exploration of Extreme Environments with Legged Locomotioncited by 21
- 2023STEP: Stochastic Traversability Evaluation and Planning for Risk-Aware Off-road Navigation; Results from the DARPA Subterranean Challengecited by 12
Built on by
Citing papers per year: 2025: 1; 2026: 2.
3 papers.
Similar, not cited
Close in wording, no citation either way
- 2024LDP: A Local Diffusion Planner for Efficient Robot Navigation and Collision Avoidance
- 2025Learning to Navigate Under Imperfect Perception: Conformalised Segmentation for Safe Reinforcement Learning
- 2024DARE: Diffusion Policy for Autonomous Robot Exploration
- 2025Deep Active Inference with Diffusion Policy and Multiple Timescale World Model for Real-World Exploration and Navigation
- 2026Semantic Risk-Aware Heuristic Planning for Robotic Navigation in Dynamic Environments: An LLM-Inspired Approach
- 2026MOSAIC: Mode- and Support-Aware Inference-Time Control of Robot Diffusion Models
- 2026Guided Diffusion with Distilled Vision-Language Reliability for Aerial Navigation
- 2025GUIDE: A Diffusion-Based Autonomous Robot Exploration Framework Using Global Graph Inference