MS-DFTVNet:A Long-Term Time Series Prediction Method Based on Multi-Scale Deformable Convolution
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Abstract (arXiv)
Research on long-term time series prediction has primarily relied on Transformer and MLP models, while the potential of convolutional networks in this domain remains underexplored. To address this, we propose a novel multi-scale time series reshape module that effectively captures cross-period patch interactions and variable dependencies. Building on this, we develop MS-DFTVNet, the multi-scale 3D deformable convolutional framework tailored for long-term forecasting. Moreover, to handle the inherently uneven distribution of temporal features, we introduce a context-aware dynamic deformable convolution mechanism, which further enhances the model's ability to capture complex temporal patterns. Extensive experiments demonstrate that MS-DFTVNet not only significantly outperforms strong baselines but also achieves an average improvement of about 7.5% across six public datasets, setting new state-of-the-art results.
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References · 6
- 2022TimesNet: Temporal 2D-Variation Modeling for General Time Series Analysiscited by 1,058
- 2023iTransformer: Inverted Transformers Are Effective for Time Series Forecastingcited by 931
- 2023Frequency-domain MLPs are More Effective Learners in Time Series Forecastingcited by 172
- 2022Scaleformer: Iterative Multi-scale Refining Transformers for Time Series Forecastingcited by 54
- 2023MTS-Mixers: Multivariate Time Series Forecasting via Factorized Temporal and Channel Mixingcited by 53
- 2025TVNet: A Novel Time Series Analysis Method Based on Dynamic Convolution and 3D-Variationcited by 8
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