Model-Free Kernel Conformal Depth Measures Algorithm for Uncertainty Quantification in Regression Models in Separable Hilbert Spaces
Not on the map. Why?
Abstract (arXiv)
Depth measures are powerful tools for defining level sets in emerging, non--standard, and complex random objects such as high-dimensional multivariate data, functional data, and random graphs. Despite their favorable theoretical properties, the integration of depth measures into regression modeling to provide prediction regions remains a largely underexplored area of research. To address this gap, we propose a novel, model-free uncertainty quantification algorithm based on conditional depth measures--specifically, conditional kernel mean embeddings and an integrated depth measure. These new algorithms can be used to define prediction and tolerance regions when predictors and responses are defined in separable Hilbert spaces. The use of kernel mean embeddings ensures faster convergence rates in prediction region estimation. To enhance the practical utility of the algorithms with finite samples, we also introduce a conformal prediction variant that provides marginal, non-asymptotic guarantees for the derived prediction regions. Additionally, we establish both conditional and unconditional consistency results, as well as fast convergence rates in certain homoscedastic settings. We evaluate the finite--sample performance of our model in extensive simulation studies involving various types of functional data and traditional Euclidean scenarios. Finally, we demonstrate the practical relevance of our approach through a digital health application related to physical activity, aiming to provide personalized recommendations
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 19 of its 88 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 10 Jun 2025.
Builds on
19 of 88 references.
References · 19
- 2019Conformalized Quantile Regressioncited by 629
- 2016Kernel Mean Embedding of Distributions: A Review and Beyondcited by 364
- 2022Conformal prediction beyond exchangeabilitycited by 355
- 2020A Measure-Theoretic Approach to Kernel Conditional Mean Embeddingscited by 86
- 2019A comparison of some conformal quantile regression methodscited by 76
- 2020CD-split and HPD-split: efficient conformal regions in high dimensionscited by 76
- 2017An Exact and Robust Conformal Inference Method for Counterfactual and Synthetic Controlscited by 36
- 2020Choosing among notions of multivariate depth statisticscited by 14
- 2021Distributional data analysis of accelerometer data from the NHANES database using nonparametric survey regression modelscited by 11
- 2023An Efficient Doubly-Robust Test for the Kernel Treatment Effectcited by 10
- 2019Depth for curve data and applicationscited by 8
- 2024Multilevel functional distributional models with application to continuous glucose monitoring in diabetes clinical trialscited by 7
7 more
- 2021Statistical Depth Meets Machine Learning: Kernel Mean Embeddings and Depth in Functional Data Analysiscited by 6
- 2015Extremal Depth for Functional Data and Applicationscited by 5
- 2018On Mahalanobis distance in functional settingscited by 5
- 2017Nonparametric imputation by data depthcited by 3
- 2021Statistical depth in abstract metric spacescited by 3
- 2022A uniform kernel trick for high-dimensional two-sample problemscited by 2
- 2024Conditional Mean and Variance Estimation via textitk-NN Algorithm with Automated Variance Selectioncited by 2
Built on by
Not cited yet.