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Option Pricing Using Ensemble Learning

arXiv 2506.05799 ↗First posted 6 Jun 2025cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Ensemble learning is characterized by flexibility, high precision, and refined structure. As a critical component within computational finance, option pricing with machine learning requires both high predictive accuracy and reduced structural complexity-features that align well with the inherent advantages of ensemble learning. This paper investigates the application of ensemble learning to option pricing, and conducts a comparative analysis with classical machine learning models to assess their performance in terms of accuracy, local feature extraction, and robustness to noise. A novel experimental strategy is introduced, leveraging parameter transfer across experiments to improve robustness and realism in financial simulations.Building upon this strategy, an evaluation mechanism is developed that incorporates a scoring strategy and a weighted evaluation strategy explicitly emphasizing the foundational role of financial theory. This mechanism embodies an orderly integration of theoretical finance and computational methods. In addition, the study examines the interaction between sliding window technique and noise, revealing nuanced patterns that suggest a potential connection relevant to ongoing research in machine learning and data science.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 8 of its 30 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 6 Jun 2025.

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References · 8

  1. 2016XGBoost: A Scalable Tree Boosting Systemcited by 5,166
  2. 2014New insights and perspectives on the natural gradient methodcited by 443
  3. 2018CatBoost: gradient boosting with categorical features supportcited by 208
  4. 2019NGBoost: Natural Gradient Boosting for Probabilistic Predictioncited by 94
  5. 2017Deep Forestcited by 46
  6. 2019Neural networks for option pricing and hedging: a literature reviewcited by 40
  7. 2016Classification under Streaming Emerging New Classes: A Solution using Completely Random Treescited by 17
  8. 2024Option Pricing with Convolutional Kolmogorov-Arnold Networkscited by 1

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