mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

K2IE: Kernel Method-based Kernel Intensity Estimators for Inhomogeneous Poisson Processes

arXiv 2505.24704 ↗First posted 30 May 2025stat.ML cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

Kernel method-based intensity estimators, formulated within reproducing kernel Hilbert spaces (RKHSs), and classical kernel intensity estimators (KIEs) have been among the most easy-to-implement and feasible methods for estimating the intensity functions of inhomogeneous Poisson processes. While both approaches share the term "kernel", they are founded on distinct theoretical principles, each with its own strengths and limitations. In this paper, we propose a novel regularized kernel method for Poisson processes based on the least squares loss and show that the resulting intensity estimator involves a specialized variant of the representer theorem: it has the dual coefficient of unity and coincides with classical KIEs. This result provides new theoretical insights into the connection between classical KIEs and kernel method-based intensity estimators, while enabling us to develop an efficient KIE by leveraging advanced techniques from RKHS theory. We refer to the proposed model as the kernel method-based kernel intensity estimator (K2IE). Through experiments on synthetic datasets, we show that K2IE achieves comparable predictive performance while significantly surpassing the state-of-the-art kernel method-based estimator in computational efficiency.

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References · 11

  1. 2014Variational Inference for Gaussian Process Modulated Poisson Processescited by 26
  2. 2015Sparse and low-rank multivariate Hawkes processescited by 19
  3. 2018Efficient Bayesian Inference of Sigmoidal Gaussian Cox Processescited by 17
  4. 2013Spatial and Spatio-Temporal Log-Gaussian Cox Processes: Extending the Geostatistical Paradigmcited by 14
  5. 2016Poisson intensity estimation with reproducing kernelscited by 14
  6. 2020Latent Network Structure Learning from High Dimensional Multivariate Point Processescited by 12
  7. 2017Fast Bayesian Intensity Estimation for the Permanental Processcited by 10
  8. 2018Large-Scale Cox Process Inference using Variational Fourier Featurescited by 8
  9. 2019Structured Variational Inference in Continuous Cox Process Modelscited by 8
  10. 2024Exact, Fast and Expressive Poisson Point Processes via Squared Neural Familiescited by 6
  11. 2014Efficient Bayesian Nonparametric Modelling of Structured Point Processescited by 5

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