mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

TULiP: Test-time Uncertainty Estimation via Linearization and Weight Perturbation

arXiv 2505.16923 ↗First posted 22 May 2025stat.ML cs.LGcited by 2

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

A reliable uncertainty estimation method is the foundation of many modern out-of-distribution (OOD) detectors, which are critical for safe deployments of deep learning models in the open world. In this work, we propose TULiP, a theoretically-driven post-hoc uncertainty estimator for OOD detection. Our approach considers a hypothetical perturbation applied to the network before convergence. Based on linearized training dynamics, we bound the effect of such perturbation, resulting in an uncertainty score computable by perturbing model parameters. Ultimately, our approach computes uncertainty from a set of sampled predictions. We visualize our bound on synthetic regression and classification datasets. Furthermore, we demonstrate the effectiveness of TULiP using large-scale OOD detection benchmarks for image classification. Our method exhibits state-of-the-art performance, particularly for near-distribution samples.

Key facts. Cited by 2 papers in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 39 of its 57 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 May 2025.

Builds on

39 of 57 references.

References · 39

  1. 2015Deep Residual Learning for Image Recognitioncited by 52,096
  2. 2014ImageNet Large Scale Visual Recognition Challengecited by 8,498
  3. 2015Batch Normalization: Accelerating Deep Network Training by Reducing Internal Covariate Shiftcited by 7,005
  4. 2017On Calibration of Modern Neural Networkscited by 4,960
  5. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,448
  6. 2016Simple and Scalable Predictive Uncertainty Estimation using Deep Ensemblescited by 3,926
  7. 2019Benchmarking Neural Network Robustness to Common Corruptions and Perturbationscited by 2,877
  8. 2018Neural Tangent Kernel: Convergence and Generalization in Neural Networkscited by 2,621
  9. 2016A Baseline for Detecting Misclassified and Out-of-Distribution Examples in Neural Networkscited by 2,385
  10. 2013Describing Textures in the Wildcited by 2,125
  11. 2020The Many Faces of Robustness: A Critical Analysis of Out-of-Distribution Generalizationcited by 1,850
  12. 2016Understanding deep learning requires rethinking generalizationcited by 1,674
27 more
  1. 2018A Simple Unified Framework for Detecting Out-of-Distribution Samples and Adversarial Attackscited by 1,485
  2. 2017Enhancing The Reliability of Out-of-distribution Image Detection in Neural Networkscited by 1,328
  3. 2020Energy-based Out-of-distribution Detectioncited by 1,299
  4. 2021Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detection: A Surveycited by 802
  5. 2019Wide Neural Networks of Any Depth Evolve as Linear Models Under Gradient Descentcited by 738
  6. 2017Deep Neural Networks as Gaussian Processescited by 622
  7. 2018Gradient Descent Finds Global Minima of Deep Neural Networkscited by 574
  8. 2021ReAct: Out-of-distribution Detection With Rectified Activationscited by 486
  9. 2019Scaling Out-of-Distribution Detection for Real-World Settingscited by 465
  10. 2022ViM: Out-Of-Distribution with Virtual-logit Matchingcited by 405
  11. 2021Laplace Redux -- Effortless Bayesian Deep Learningcited by 365
  12. 2021Open-Set Recognition: a Good Closed-Set Classifier is All You Need?cited by 353
  13. 2021On the Importance of Gradients for Detecting Distributional Shifts in the Wildcited by 339
  14. 2022OpenOOD: Benchmarking Generalized Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 268
  15. 2018Learning Confidence for Out-of-Distribution Detection in Neural Networkscited by 245
  16. 2021MOS: Towards Scaling Out-of-distribution Detection for Large Semantic Spacecited by 233
  17. 2022Extremely Simple Activation Shaping for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 212
  18. 2020Deep learning versus kernel learning: an empirical study of loss landscape geometry and the time evolution of the Neural Tangent Kernelcited by 187
  19. 2023OpenOOD v1.5: Enhanced Benchmark for Out-of-Distribution Detectioncited by 179
  20. 2019Neural Tangents: Fast and Easy Infinite Neural Networks in Pythoncited by 149
  21. 2020Bayesian Deep Ensembles via the Neural Tangent Kernelcited by 90
  22. 2021Explainable Artificial Intelligence for Autonomous Driving: A Comprehensive Overview and Field Guide for Future Research Directionscited by 73
  23. 2022RankFeat: Rank-1 Feature Removal for Out-of-distribution Detectioncited by 52
  24. 2021Deep Active Learning by Leveraging Training Dynamicscited by 32
  25. 2020A Dynamical Central Limit Theorem for Shallow Neural Networkscited by 23
  26. 2024Unexplored Faces of Robustness and Out-of-Distribution: Covariate Shifts in Environment and Sensor Domainscited by 22
  27. 2022Disentangling the Predictive Variance of Deep Ensembles through the Neural Tangent Kernelcited by 4

Built on by

Cited by year (2026 to 14 Oct)

Citing papers per year: 2026: 2.

2 papers.