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Estimation methods of Matrix-valued AR model

arXiv 2505.15220 ↗First posted 21 May 2025math.ST stat.ML stat.THcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

This article proposes novel estimation methods for the Matrix Autoregressive (MAR) model, specifically adaptations of the Yule-Walker equations and Burg's method, addressing limitations in existing techniques. The MAR model, by maintaining a matrix structure and requiring significantly fewer parameters than vector autoregressive (VAR) models, offers a parsimonious, yet effective, alternative for high-dimensional time series. Empirical results demonstrate that MAR models estimated via the proposed methods achieve a comparable fit to VAR models across metrics such as MAE and RMSE. These findings underscore the utility of Yule-Walker and Burg-type estimators in constructing efficient and interpretable models for complex temporal data.

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References · 3

  1. 2021Convex optimizationcited by 2,515
  2. 2018Autoregressive Models for Matrix-Valued Time Seriescited by 18
  3. 2021Multi-linear Tensor Autoregressive Modelscited by 4

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