Adapting GT2-FLS for Uncertainty Quantification: A Blueprint Calibration Strategy
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Abstract (arXiv)
Uncertainty Quantification (UQ) is crucial for deploying reliable Deep Learning (DL) models in high-stakes applications. Recently, General Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems (GT2-FLSs) have been proven to be effective for UQ, offering Prediction Intervals (PIs) to capture uncertainty. However, existing methods often struggle with computational efficiency and adaptability, as generating PIs for new coverage levels (φd) typically requires retraining the model. Moreover, methods that directly estimate the entire conditional distribution for UQ are computationally expensive, limiting their scalability in real-world scenarios. This study addresses these challenges by proposing a blueprint calibration strategy for GT2-FLSs, enabling efficient adaptation to any desired φd without retraining. By exploring the relationship between α-plane type reduced sets and uncertainty coverage, we develop two calibration methods: a lookup table-based approach and a derivative-free optimization algorithm. These methods allow GT2-FLSs to produce accurate and reliable PIs while significantly reducing computational overhead. Experimental results on high-dimensional datasets demonstrate that the calibrated GT2-FLS achieves superior performance in UQ, highlighting its potential for scalable and practical applications.
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References · 5
- 2020A Review of Uncertainty Quantification in Deep Learning: Techniques, Applications and Challengescited by 819
- 2022Uncertainty Quantification in Scientific Machine Learning: Methods, Metrics, and Comparisonscited by 170
- 2018High-Quality Prediction Intervals for Deep Learning: A Distribution-Free, Ensembled Approachcited by 117
- 2020Beyond Pinball Loss: Quantile Methods for Calibrated Uncertainty Quantificationcited by 78
- 2024Enhancing Interval Type-2 Fuzzy Logic Systems: Learning for Precision and Prediction Intervalscited by 1
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