mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Randomised Postiterations for Calibrated BayesCG

arXiv 2504.04247 ↗First posted 5 Apr 2025stat.ML cs.LG cs.NAcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

The Bayesian conjugate gradient method offers probabilistic solutions to linear systems but suffers from poor calibration, limiting its utility in uncertainty quantification tasks. Recent approaches leveraging postiterations to construct priors have improved computational properties but failed to correct calibration issues. In this work, we propose a novel randomised postiteration strategy that enhances the calibration of the BayesCG posterior while preserving its favourable convergence characteristics. We present theoretical guarantees for the improved calibration, supported by results on the distribution of posterior errors. Numerical experiments demonstrate the efficacy of the method in both synthetic and inverse problem settings, showing enhanced uncertainty quantification and better propagation of uncertainties through computational pipelines.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 7 of its 21 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Apr 2025.

Builds on

7 of 21 references.

References · 7

  1. 2018Validating Bayesian Inference Algorithms with Simulation-Based Calibrationcited by 124
  2. 2022Posterior and Computational Uncertainty in Gaussian Processescited by 24
  3. 2024Computation-Aware Kalman Filtering and Smoothingcited by 12
  4. 2024Computation-Aware Gaussian Processes: Model Selection And Linear-Time Inferencecited by 9
  5. 2020Probabilistic Iterative Methods for Linear Systemscited by 7
  6. 2024Calibrated Computation-Aware Gaussian Processescited by 6
  7. 2024Contraction rates for conjugate gradient and Lanczos approximate posteriors in Gaussian process regressioncited by 2

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Citing papers per year: 2026: 1.

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