mlsanityData to 7 Oct 2026

Towards An Efficient and Effective En Route Travel Time Estimation Framework

arXiv 2504.04086 ↗First posted 5 Apr 2025cs.AIcited by 3

Not on the map. Why?

Abstract (arXiv)

En route travel time estimation (ER-TTE) focuses on predicting the travel time of the remaining route. Existing ER-TTE methods always make re-estimation which significantly hinders real-time performance, especially when faced with the computational demands of simultaneous user requests. This results in delays and reduced responsiveness in ER-TTE services. We propose a general efficient framework U-ERTTE combining an Uncertainty-Guided Decision mechanism (UGD) and Fine-Tuning with Meta-Learning (FTML) to address these challenges. UGD quantifies the uncertainty and provides confidence intervals for the entire route. It selectively re-estimates only when the actual travel time deviates from the predicted confidence intervals, thereby optimizing the efficiency of ER-TTE. To ensure the accuracy of confidence intervals and accurate predictions that need to re-estimate, FTML is employed to train the model, enabling it to learn general driving patterns and specific features to adapt to specific tasks. Extensive experiments on two large-scale real datasets demonstrate that the U-ERTTE framework significantly enhances inference speed and throughput while maintaining high effectiveness. Our code is available at https://github.com/shenzekai/U-ERTTE

Key facts. Cited by 3 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 11 of its 30 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 5 Apr 2025.

Builds on

11 of 30 references.

References · 11

  1. 2017Model-Agnostic Meta-Learning for Fast Adaptation of Deep Networkscited by 4,861
  2. 2015Dropout as a Bayesian Approximation: Representing Model Uncertainty in Deep Learningcited by 4,416
  3. 2021A Survey of Uncertainty in Deep Neural Networkscited by 675
  4. 2021ETA Prediction with Graph Neural Networks in Google Mapscited by 130
  5. 2018High-Quality Prediction Intervals for Deep Learning: A Distribution-Free, Ensembled Approachcited by 117
  6. 2016Towards Bayesian Deep Learning: A Framework and Some Existing Methodscited by 57
  7. 2021Quantifying Uncertainty in Deep Spatiotemporal Forecastingcited by 48
  8. 2024Trajectory Data Management and Mining: A Survey from Deep Learning to the LLM Eracited by 23
  9. 2023Origin-Destination Travel Time Oracle for Map-based Servicescited by 20
  10. 2023DRL4Route: A Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Pick-up and Delivery Route Predictioncited by 10
  11. 2024DutyTTE: Deciphering Uncertainty in Origin-Destination Travel Time Estimationcited by 6

Built on by

Cited by year

Citing papers per year: 2025: 3.

3 papers.