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Function-Coherent Gambles with Non-Additive Sequential Dynamics

arXiv 2503.02889 ↗First posted 22 Feb 2025econ.TH cs.AI cs.CEcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

The desirable gambles framework provides a rigorous foundation for imprecise probability theory but relies heavily on linear utility via its coherence axioms. In our related work, we introduced function-coherent gambles to accommodate non-linear utility. However, when repeated gambles are played over time -- especially in intertemporal choice where rewards compound multiplicatively -- the standard additive combination axiom fails to capture the appropriate long-run evaluation. In this paper we extend the framework by relaxing the additive combination axiom and introducing a nonlinear combination operator that effectively aggregates repeated gambles in the log-domain. This operator preserves the time-average (geometric) growth rate and addresses the ergodicity problem. We prove the key algebraic properties of the operator, discuss its impact on coherence, risk assessment, and representation, and provide a series of illustrative examples. Our approach bridges the gap between expectation values and time averages and unifies normative theory with empirically observed non-stationary reward dynamics.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 2 of its 31 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 22 Feb 2025.

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References · 2

  1. 2023A theory of desirable thingscited by 5
  2. 2022Nonlinear desirability theorycited by 4

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