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A New ~ 5σ Tension at Characteristic Redshift from DESI-DR1 BAO and DES-SN5YR Observations

arXiv 2503.02880 ↗First posted 4 Mar 2025astro-ph.CO cs.LG gr-qccited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

We perform a model-independent reconstruction of the angular diameter distance (DA) using the Multi-Task Gaussian Process (MTGP) framework with DESI-DR1 BAO and DES-SN5YR datasets. We calibrate the comoving sound horizon at the baryon drag epoch rd to the Planck best-fit value, ensuring consistency with early-universe physics. With the reconstructed DA at two key redshifts, z~ 1.63 (where DAprime =0) and at z~ 0.512 (where DAprime = DA), we derive the expansion rate of the Universe H(z) at these redshifts. Our findings reveal that at z~ 1.63, the H(z) is fully consistent with the Planck-2018 LambdaCDM prediction, confirming no new physics at that redshift. However, at z ~ 0.512, the derived H(z) shows a more than 5σ discrepancy with the Planck-2018 LambdaCDM prediction, suggesting a possible breakdown of the LambdaCDM model as constrained by Planck-2018 at this lower redshift. This emerging ~ 5σ tension at z~ 0.512, distinct from the existing ``Hubble Tension'', may signal the first strong evidence for new physics at low redshifts.

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References · 5

  1. 2018Pyro: Deep Universal Probabilistic Programmingcited by 380
  2. 2019Composable Effects for Flexible and Accelerated Probabilistic Programming in NumPyrocited by 191
  3. 2024Model-independent cosmological inference post DESI DR1 BAO measurementscited by 1
  4. 2024Model-Agnostic Cosmological Inference with SDSS-IV eBOSS: Simultaneous Probing for Background and Perturbed Universecited by 1
  5. 2024Deep Learning Based Recalibration of SDSS and DESI BAO Alleviates Hubble and Clustering Tensionscited by 1

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