nabqr: Python package for improving probabilistic forecasts
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Abstract (arXiv)
We introduce the open-source Python package NABQR: Neural Adaptive Basis for (time-adaptive) Quantile Regression that provides reliable probabilistic forecasts. NABQR corrects ensembles (scenarios) with LSTM networks and then applies time-adaptive quantile regression to the corrected ensembles to obtain improved and more reliable forecasts. With the suggested package, accuracy improvements of up to 40% in mean absolute terms can be achieved in day-ahead forecasting of onshore and offshore wind power production in Denmark.
Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 14 Oct 2026). First posted on arXiv 29 Jan 2025.
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