On the Benefits of Instance Decomposition in Video Prediction Models

Video prediction is a crucial task for intelligent agents such as robots and autonomous vehicles, since it enables them to anticipate and act early on time-critical incidents. State-of-the-art video prediction methods typically model the dynamics of a scene jointly and implicitly, without any explicit decomposition into separate objects. This is challenging and potentially sub-optimal, as every object in a dynamic scene has their own pattern of movement, typically somewhat independent of others. In this paper, we investigate the benefit of explicitly modeling the objects in a dynamic scene separately within the context of latent-transformer video prediction models. We conduct detailed and carefully-controlled experiments on both synthetic and real-world datasets; our results show that decomposing a dynamic scene leads to higher quality predictions compared with models of a similar capacity that lack such decomposition.