mlsanityData to 14 Oct 2026

Identification and Estimation of Simultaneous Equation Models Using Higher-Order Cumulant Restrictions

arXiv 2501.06777 ↗First posted 12 Jan 2025econ.EM stat.MLcited by 1

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Abstract (arXiv)

Identifying structural parameters in linear simultaneous-equation models is a longstanding challenge. Recent work exploits information in higher-order moments of non-Gaussian data. In this literature, the structural errors are typically assumed to be uncorrelated so that, after standardizing the covariance matrix of the observables (whitening), the structural parameter matrix becomes orthogonal -- a device that underpins many identification proofs but can be restrictive in econometric applications. We show that neither zero covariance nor whitening is necessary. For any order h>2, a simple diagonality condition on the hth-order cumulants alone identifies the structural parameter matrix -- up to unknown scaling and permutation -- as the solution to an eigenvector problem; no restrictions on cumulants of other orders are required. This general, single-order result enlarges the class of models covered by our framework and yields a sample-analogue estimator that is √n-consistent, asymptotically normal, and easy to compute. Furthermore, when uncorrelatedness is intrinsic -- as in vector autoregressive (VAR) models -- our framework provides a transparent overidentification test. Monte Carlo experiments show favorable finite-sample performance, and two applications -- "Returns to Schooling" and "Uncertainty and the Business Cycle" -- demonstrate its practical value.

Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 1 of its 39 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 12 Jan 2025.

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References · 1

  1. 2021Time Series Estimation of the Dynamic Effects of Disaster-Type Shockcited by 1

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