Predicting Time Series of Networked Dynamical Systems without Knowing Topology
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Abstract (arXiv)
Many real-world complex systems, such as epidemic spreading networks and ecosystems, can be modeled as networked dynamical systems that produce multivariate time series. Learning the intrinsic dynamics from observational data is pivotal for forecasting system behaviors and making informed decisions. However, existing methods for modeling networked time series often assume known topologies, whereas real-world networks are typically incomplete or inaccurate, with missing or spurious links that hinder precise predictions. Moreover, while networked time series often originate from diverse topologies, the ability of models to generalize across topologies has not been systematically evaluated. To address these gaps, we propose a novel framework for learning network dynamics directly from observed time-series data, when prior knowledge of graph topology or governing dynamical equations is absent. Our approach leverages continuous graph neural networks with an attention mechanism to construct a latent topology, enabling accurate reconstruction of future trajectories for network states. Extensive experiments on real and synthetic networks demonstrate that our model not only captures dynamics effectively without topology knowledge but also generalizes to unseen time series originating from diverse topologies.
Key facts. Cited by 1 paper in the map (data through 14 Oct 2026). Builds on 7 of its 54 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 Dec 2024.
Builds on
7 of 54 references.
References · 7
- 2014Learning Phrase Representations using RNN Encoder-Decoder for Statistical Machine Translationcited by 4,057
- 2016Gaussian Error Linear Units (GELUs)cited by 3,502
- 2020From Local Structures to Size Generalization in Graph Neural Networkscited by 124
- 2020Learning Continuous System Dynamics from Irregularly-Sampled Partial Observationscited by 61
- 2021LEADS: Learning Dynamical Systems that Generalize Across Environmentscited by 40
- 2024Physics-Informed Regularization for Domain-Agnostic Dynamical System Modelingcited by 9
- 2024Learning the Topology and Behavior of Discrete Dynamical Systemscited by 1
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