WormKAN: Are KAN Effective for Identifying and Tracking Concept Drift in Time Series?
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Abstract (arXiv)
Dynamic concepts in time series are crucial for understanding complex systems such as financial markets, healthcare, and online activity logs. These concepts help reveal structures and behaviors in sequential data for better decision-making and forecasting. However, existing models often struggle to detect and track concept drift due to limitations in interpretability and adaptability. To address this challenge, inspired by the flexibility of the recent Kolmogorov-Arnold Network (KAN), we propose WormKAN, a concept-aware KAN-based model to address concept drift in co-evolving time series. WormKAN consists of three key components: Patch Normalization, Temporal Representation Module, and Concept Dynamics. Patch normalization processes co-evolving time series into patches, treating them as fundamental modeling units to capture local dependencies while ensuring consistent scaling. The temporal representation module learns robust latent representations by leveraging a KAN-based autoencoder, complemented by a smoothness constraint, to uncover inter-patch correlations. Concept dynamics identifies and tracks dynamic transitions, revealing structural shifts in the time series through concept identification and drift detection. These transitions, akin to passing through a textitwormhole, are identified by abrupt changes in the latent space. Experiments show that KAN and KAN-based models (WormKAN) effectively segment time series into meaningful concepts, enhancing the identification and tracking of concept drift.
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References · 9
- 2019N-BEATS: Neural basis expansion analysis for interpretable time series forecastingcited by 744
- 2024TimeMixer: Decomposable Multiscale Mixing for Time Series Forecastingcited by 333
- 2024U-KAN Makes Strong Backbone for Medical Image Segmentation and Generationcited by 176
- 2023UniTime: A Language-Empowered Unified Model for Cross-Domain Time Series Forecastingcited by 139
- 2024A comprehensive and FAIR comparison between MLP and KAN representations for differential equations and operator networkscited by 103
- 2023Dish-TS: A General Paradigm for Alleviating Distribution Shift in Time Series Forecastingcited by 91
- 2023OneNet: Enhancing Time Series Forecasting Models under Concept Drift by Online Ensemblingcited by 71
- 2024Kolmogorov-Arnold Networks for Time Series: Bridging Predictive Power and Interpretabilitycited by 69
- 2017Toeplitz Inverse Covariance-Based Clustering of Multivariate Time Series Datacited by 47
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