Conditional Testing based on Localized Conformal p-values
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Abstract (arXiv)
In this paper, we address conditional testing problems through the conformal inference framework. We define the localized conformal p-values by inverting prediction intervals and prove their theoretical properties. These defined p-values are then applied to several conditional testing problems to illustrate their practicality. Firstly, we propose a conditional outlier detection procedure to test for outliers in the conditional distribution with finite-sample false discovery rate (FDR) control. We also introduce a novel conditional label screening problem with the goal of screening multivariate response variables and propose a screening procedure to control the family-wise error rate (FWER). Finally, we consider the two-sample conditional distribution test and define a weighted U-statistic through the aggregation of localized p-values. Numerical simulations and real-data examples validate the superior performance of our proposed strategies.
Key facts. Cited by 4 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 10 of its 43 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 25 Sep 2024.
Builds on
10 of 43 references.
References · 10
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- 2024Language Models with Conformal Factuality Guaranteescited by 128
- 2024Large language model validity via enhanced conformal prediction methodscited by 91
- 2022Selection by Prediction with Conformal p-valuescited by 66
- 2023Conformal prediction with local weights: randomization enables local guaranteescited by 47
- 2023Model-free selective inference under covariate shift via weighted conformal p-valuescited by 26
- 2024De-Biased Two-Sample U-Statistics With Application To Conditional Distribution Testingcited by 6
- 2021A Burden Shared is a Burden Halved: A Fairness-Adjusted Approach to Classificationcited by 5
- 2015MCODE: Multivariate Conditional Outlier Detectioncited by 1
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 3; 2026: 1.
4 papers.
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- 2025Reliable Inference in Edge-Cloud Model Cascades via Conformal Alignmentcited by 1
- 2026Distribution-free root cause analysiscited by 1
- 2026Distribution-free root cause analysis20 May 2026
- 2025Reliable Inference in Edge-Cloud Model Cascades via Conformal Alignment20 Oct 2025
- 2025Model-agnostic Selective Labeling with Provable Statistical Guarantees16 Oct 2025
- 2025Theoretical guarantees for change localization using conformal p-values9 Oct 2025