Amortized Bayesian Multilevel Models
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Abstract (arXiv)
Multilevel models (MLMs) are a central building block of the Bayesian workflow. They enable joint, interpretable modeling of data across hierarchical levels and provide a fully probabilistic quantification of uncertainty. Despite their well-recognized advantages, MLMs pose significant computational challenges, often rendering their estimation and evaluation intractable within reasonable time constraints. Recent advances in simulation-based inference offer promising solutions for addressing complex probabilistic models using deep generative networks. However, the utility and reliability of deep learning methods for estimating Bayesian MLMs remains largely unexplored, especially when compared with gold-standard samplers. To this end, we explore a family of neural network architectures that leverage the probabilistic factorization of multilevel models to facilitate efficient neural network training and subsequent near-instant posterior inference on unseen datasets. We test our method on several real-world case studies and provide comprehensive comparisons to Stan's gold standard sampler, where possible. Finally, we provide an open-source implementation of our methods to stimulate further research in the nascent field of amortized Bayesian inference.
Key facts. Cited by 12 papers in the map (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 60 of its 117 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Aug 2024.
Builds on
60 of 117 references.
References · 60
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50 most cited of 60 All 60 (JSON)
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Citing papers per year: 2025: 5; 2026: 7.
12 papers.
- 2025Robust Amortized Bayesian Inference with Self-Consistency Losses on Unlabeled Datacited by 11
- 2026BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Pythoncited by 7
- 2025Improving the Accuracy of Amortized Model Comparison with Self-Consistencycited by 5
- 2025Amortized Bayesian Mixture Modelscited by 3
- 2026From Mice to Trains: Amortized Bayesian Inference on Graph Datacited by 2
- 2025metabeta -- A fast neural model for Bayesian mixed-effects regressioncited by 1
- 2025Improving the Accuracy of Amortized Model Comparison with Self-Consistencycited by 0
- 2026Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Tokenised Flow Matching for Hierarchical Simulation Based Inferencecited by 0
- 2026Mixed neural posterior estimation for simulators with discrete and continuous parameterscited by 0
- 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spacescited by 0
- 2026Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structurecited by 0
- 2026Amortized Bayesian Inference on Multilevel Models of Arbitrary Structure30 Sep 2026
- 2026High-Dimensional Simulation-Based Inference in Latent Spaces29 Sep 2026
- 2026Mixed neural posterior estimation for simulators with discrete and continuous parameters13 May 2026
- 2026Tokenised Flow Matching for Hierarchical Simulation Based Inference22 Apr 2026
- 2026Unsupervised Continual Learning for Amortized Bayesian Inference26 Feb 2026
- 2026BayesFlow 2: Multi-Backend Amortized Bayesian Inference in Python6 Feb 2026
- 2026From Mice to Trains: Amortized Bayesian Inference on Graph Data5 Jan 2026
- 2025Improving the Accuracy of Amortized Model Comparison with Self-Consistency16 Dec 2025
- 2025metabeta -- A fast neural model for Bayesian mixed-effects regression8 Oct 2025
- 2025Improving the Accuracy of Amortized Model Comparison with Self-Consistency28 Aug 2025
- 2025Robust Amortized Bayesian Inference with Self-Consistency Losses on Unlabeled Data23 Jan 2025
- 2025Amortized Bayesian Mixture Models17 Jan 2025