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Can time series forecasting be automated? A benchmark and analysis

arXiv 2407.16445 ↗First posted 23 Jul 2024cs.LGcited by 0

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Abstract (arXiv)

In the field of machine learning and artificial intelligence, time series forecasting plays a pivotal role across various domains such as finance, healthcare, and weather. However, the task of selecting the most suitable forecasting method for a given dataset is a complex task due to the diversity of data patterns and characteristics. This research aims to address this challenge by proposing a comprehensive benchmark for evaluating and ranking time series forecasting methods across a wide range of datasets. This study investigates the comparative performance of many methods from two prominent time series forecasting frameworks, AutoGluon-Timeseries, and sktime to shed light on their applicability in different real-world scenarios. This research contributes to the field of time series forecasting by providing a robust benchmarking methodology and facilitating informed decision-making when choosing forecasting methods for achieving optimal prediction.

Key facts. No citing papers in the map yet (data through 7 Oct 2026). Builds on 9 of its 28 references that are in the map. First posted on arXiv 23 Jul 2024.

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References · 9

  1. 2022A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformerscited by 1,981
  2. 2017DeepAR: Probabilistic Forecasting with Autoregressive Recurrent Networkscited by 1,004
  3. 2021Monash Time Series Forecasting Archivecited by 256
  4. 2020Auto-Sklearn 2.0: Hands-free AutoML via Meta-Learningcited by 174
  5. 2019sktime: A Unified Interface for Machine Learning with Time Seriescited by 98
  6. 2016Evaluation of a Tree-based Pipeline Optimization Tool for Automating Data Sciencecited by 73
  7. 2023AutoGluon-TimeSeries: AutoML for Probabilistic Time Series Forecastingcited by 36
  8. 2020A Benchmark Study on Time Series Clusteringcited by 25
  9. 2020GAMA: a General Automated Machine learning Assistantcited by 15

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